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All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla 13 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 57,694  6.3% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 32,393 (56.1%) 2.1 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2015 Melilla Assembly election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 6th Assembly of the Autonomous City of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
Electoral system
[edit]The Assembly of Melilla was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[1][2][3]
The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2][3]
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[3]
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[1][2]
Opinion polls
[edit]The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
CpM | 
|
PPL | 
|
|
|
|
G | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 Assembly election | 24 May 2015 | — | 56.1 | 42.7 12 |
26.4 7 |
12.6 3 |
5.4 1 |
1.1 0 |
0.8 0 |
2.6 0 |
6.8 2 |
– | 16.3 |
| SyM Consulting/PPL[p 1][p 2] | 16 May 2015 | 567 | 67.3 | 33.0 10 |
20.5 6 |
16.5 4/5 |
15.8 4/5 |
2.4 0 |
– | 3.1 0 |
4.8 0/1 |
– | 12.5 |
| SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4] | 6–7 May 2015 | 672 | 66.6 | 33.4 9/10 |
20.4 6 |
15.7 4/5 |
11.6 3 |
2.7 0 |
– | 4.7 0/1 |
8.3 2 |
– | 13.0 |
| SyM Consulting[p 5][p 6] | 24–25 Apr 2015 | 555 | 64.9 | 34.2 10 |
19.1 5/6 |
15.9 4/5 |
12.5 3 |
2.5 0 |
– | 4.2 0 |
7.2 2 |
– | 15.1 |
| CIS[p 7][p 8] | 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 | 294 | ? | 36.8 10/11 |
14.3 4 |
21.2 6 |
5.8 1 |
3.0 0 |
1.4 0 |
9.3 2 |
6.8 1/2 |
– | 15.6 |
| SyM Consulting[p 9][p 10] | 5–6 Apr 2015 | 518 | 67.4 | 25.8 7 |
19.0 5 |
21.1 5/6 |
17.1 4/5 |
4.2 0 |
– | – | ? 3 |
– | 4.7 |
| Infortécnica/Rusadir Media[p 11][p 12] | 26 Mar 2015 | 427 | ? | ? 12/14 |
? 3/5 |
? 5/7 |
? 2/3 |
– | – | – | ? 0/2 |
– | ? |
| SyM Consulting[p 13][p 14] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2015 | 530 | 71.3 | 32.8 9 |
20.5 5/6 |
21.0 5/6 |
13.5 3 |
9.7 2 |
– | – | – | – | 11.8 |
| SyM Consulting[p 15][p 16] | 30 Jan–1 Feb 2015 | 518 | 70.6 | 36.1 10 |
20.4 5/6 |
19.0 5 |
10.5 2/3 |
5.9 1 |
– | ? 0/1 |
– | – | 15.7 |
| SyM Consulting[p 17][p 18] | 2–4 Jan 2015 | 550 | 64.4 | 40.1 11 |
14.4 4/5 |
19.3 5 |
6.2 1/2 |
8.5 1/2 |
– | ? 2 |
– | – | 20.8 |
| SyM Consulting[p 19][p 20] | 5–8 Dec 2014 | 496 | 75.5 | 37.4 11/12 |
11.8 3/4 |
16.6 4/5 |
7.7 2 |
7.9 2 |
– | 10.7 2/3 |
– | 2.7 0 |
20.8 |
| SyM Consulting[p 21][p 22] | 29 Oct–2 Nov 2014 | 528 | 65.8 | 41.6 12/13 |
9.6 2/3 |
18.5 5 |
9.3 2/3 |
5.8 1/2 |
– | 12.8 3 |
– | – | 23.1 |
| SyM Consulting[p 23][p 24] | 24–28 Jul 2014 | 422 | 67.0 | 38.4 10/11 |
11.0 3 |
19.2 5 |
8.2 2 |
9.6 2/3 |
– | 9.6 2 |
– | – | 19.2 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 26.1 | 44.0 14 |
– | 25.0 8 |
5.9 1 |
7.0 2 |
3.3 0 |
2.9 0 |
1.8 0 |
– | 19.0 |
| SyM Consulting[p 25][p 26] | 4–8 Mar 2014 | 421 | 73.0 | 26.6 10/11 |
11.9 4/5 |
11.5 4 |
10.4 4 |
7.8 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | 14.7 |
| SyM Consulting[p 27][p 28] | 2–4 Jan 2014 | 400 | 78.0 | 35.9 12/13 |
8.1 2/3 |
12.0 4/5 |
9.3 3 |
5.2 2 |
– | – | – | – | 23.9 |
| SyM Consulting[p 29] | 24–28 Sep 2013 | 532 | 77.8 | 35.7 12/14 |
9.6 3/4 |
17.9 5/6 |
7.2 2/3 |
8.7 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | 17.8 |
| SyM Consulting[p 30] | 17 May 2013 | ? | 66.8 | 34.7 10/13 |
16.8 4/5 |
13.0 3/4 |
15.9 3/4 |
9.3 2 |
– | – | – | – | 17.9 |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 49.4 | 66.7 18 |
– | 25.3 7 |
– | 3.7 0 |
– | – | – | – | 41.4 |
| 2011 Assembly election | 22 May 2011 | — | 58.2 | 53.9 15 |
23.7 6 |
8.6 2 |
6.8 2 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | – | – | 30.2 |
Results
[edit] | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 13,672 | 42.73 | –11.18 | 12 | –3 | |
| Coalition for Melilla (CpM) | 8,450 | 26.41 | +2.75 | 7 | +1 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 4,028 | 12.59 | +4.01 | 3 | +1 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 2,161 | 6.75 | New | 2 | +2 | |
| Populars in Freedom Party (PPL) | 1,734 | 5.42 | –1.39 | 1 | –1 | |
| We Can (Podemos) | 835 | 2.61 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 353 | 1.10 | –1.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
| United Left (IU) | 251 | 0.78 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Equo (Equo) | 196 | 0.61 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 314 | 0.98 | –0.24 | |||
| Total | 31,994 | 25 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 31,994 | 98.77 | –0.18 | |||
| Invalid votes | 399 | 1.23 | +0.18 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 32,393 | 56.15 | –2.04 | |||
| Abstentions | 25,301 | 43.85 | +2.04 | |||
| Registered voters | 57,694 | |||||
| Sources[4][5][6] | ||||||
References
[edit]- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "Estimación Melilla. Cliente: Populares en Libertad (PPL). Mayo 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Decimo Tercera Oleada Melilla. Mayo 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Duodécima Oleada Melilla. Abril 2015 (2)". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
- ^ "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Ciudad Autónoma de Melilla (Estudio nº 3078. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
- ^ "El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Undécima Oleada Melilla. Abril 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 April 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 April 2015.
- ^ "El PP volvería a ganar las elecciones con una mayoría ajustada". TwitLonger (in Spanish). 26 March 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo Infortécnica". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 March 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Décima Oleada Melilla. Marzo 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 March 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 March 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Novena Oleada Melilla. Febrero 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 February 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Febrero 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 February 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Octava Oleada Melilla. Enero 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 12 January 2015.
- ^ "MELILLA, Enero 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 January 2015.
- ^ "Estimación Séptima Oleada Melilla. Diciembre 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 15 December 2014.
- ^ "MELILLA, Diciembre 2014. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 December 2014.
- ^ "Estimación Sexta Oleada Melilla. Noviembre 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 November 2014.
- ^ "MELILLA, Noviembre 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 November 2014.
- ^ "Estimación Quinta Oleada Melilla. Julio 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 1 August 2014.
- ^ "MELILLA, Julio 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 August 2014.
- ^ "Estimación Cuarta Oleada Melilla. Marzo 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 March 2014.
- ^ "MELILLA, Marzo 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 March 2014.
- ^ "Estimación Tercera Oleada Melilla. Enero 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 January 2014.
- ^ "MELILLA, Enero 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 January 2014.
- ^ "Estimación Segunda Oleada Melilla. Septiembre 2013". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 28 September 2013.
- ^ "Estimación Primera Oleada Melilla. Mayo 2013". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 17 May 2013.
- Other
- ^ a b c General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985. Official State Gazette (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
- ^ a b c "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
- ^ a b c Statute of Autonomy of Melilla of 1995. Official State Gazette (Law 2) (in Spanish). 13 March 1995. Retrieved 7 April 2018.
- ^ "Acuerdo de 1 de julio de 2015, de la Junta Electoral Central, por el que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, y celebradas el 24 de mayo de 2015, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora, Zaragoza, Ceuta y Melilla" (PDF) (in Spanish). Boletín Oficial del Estado. Retrieved 22 October 2021.
- ^ "Electoral Results Consultation. Municipal. May 2015. City of Melilla". Ministry of the Interior (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 April 2018.
- ^ "Elecciones Municipales y Autonómicas en Melilla (1979-2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 October 2021.
