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Opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election


2025 Australian federal election
National results
State and territory results

In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred lead.

Graphical summary

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Primary vote

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Two-party preferred

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Voting intention

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2025

[edit]
Date Brand Interview
mode 		Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
17–19 January 2025 Freshwater Strategy[1] Online 1,063 40% 32% 13% — — 15% — 49% 51%
13–19 January 2025 Roy Morgan[2] Online 1,564 42% 28.5% 13% 4% — 12.5% — 48% 52%
9–15 January 2025 YouGov[3] Online 1,504 39% 32% 12% 7% — 10% — 49% 51%
6–12 January 2025 Roy Morgan[4] Online 1,721 40.5% 30% 12.5% 4.5% — 12.5% — 48.5% 51.5%
30 Dec 2024 – 5 Jan 2025 Roy Morgan[5] Online 1,446 40.5% 31% 12% 3.5% — 13% — 47% 53%

2024

[edit]
Date Brand Interview
mode 		Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
13–15 December 2024 Freshwater Strategy[6] Online 1,051 40% 30% 14% — — 16% — 49% 51%
11–15 December 2024 Essential[7] Online 1,151 35% 30% 13% 6% 1% 11% 5% 47% 48%
9–15 December 2024 Roy Morgan[8] Online 1,672 41% 27.5% 12.5% 5% — 14% — 48% 52%
4–8 December 2024 Resolve Strategic[9] Online 1,604 38% 27% 12% 7% — 16% — 49% 51%
2–8 December 2024 Roy Morgan[10] Online 1,653 38% 28% 13% 6.5% — 14.5% — 48% 52%
2–6 December 2024 Newspoll[11] Online 1,258 39% 33% 11% 7% — 10% — 50% 50%
27 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,123 35% 32% 11% 8% 1% 9% 5% 47% 48%
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 Roy Morgan[13] Online 1,666 38.5% 30% 12.5% 6.5% — 12.5% — 49% 51%
18–24 November 2024 Roy Morgan[14] Online 1,663 37% 31.5% 12.5% 6.5% — 12.5% — 51% 49%
19–21 November 2024 DemosAU[15] Online 1,038 38% 32% 12% 7% — 11% — 50% 50%
15–21 November 2024 YouGov[16] Online 1,515 38% 30% 13% 9% — 10% — 50% 50%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024 Accent Research/
RedBridge Group[17] 		Online 4,909 39% 31% 11% — — 19% — 49% 51%
13–18 November 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,206 35% 30% 13% 7% 2% 8% 5% 48% 47%
15–17 November 2024 Freshwater Strategy[18] Online 1,046 40% 30% 14% — — 16% — 49% 51%
11–17 November 2024 Roy Morgan[19] Online 1,675 39% 29% 13.5% 6.5% — 12% — 49% 51%
6–13 November 2024 RedBridge Group[20] Online 2,011 39% 34% 11% — — 16% — 50% 50%
5–10 November 2024 Resolve Strategic[21][22] Online 1,621 39% 30% 11% 5% — 15% — 49% 51%
4–10 November 2024 Roy Morgan[23] Online 1,665 37.5% 30.5% 12.5% 6.5% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
4–8 November 2024 Newspoll[24] Online 1,261 40% 33% 11% 5% — 11% — 49% 51%
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,131 34% 31% 12% 9% 2% 8% 5% 47% 49%
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2024 Roy Morgan[25] Online 1,651 38% 30.5% 14% 6% — 11.5% — 49% 51%
21–27 October 2024 Roy Morgan[26] Online 1,687 37.5% 30% 14% 5.5% — 13% — 50.5% 49.5%
14–25 October 2024 ANU [27] Online 3,622 38.2% 31.8% 11.8% — — — 9.5% 50% 50%
18–20 October 2024 Freshwater Strategy[28] Online 1,034 41% 30% 13% — — 16% — 49% 51%
16–20 October 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,140 35% 28% 12% 7% 2% 9% 6% 46% 48%
14–20 October 2024 Roy Morgan[29] Online 1,687 36.5% 32% 13.5% 5.5% — 12.5% — 52% 48%
7–13 October 2024 Roy Morgan[30] Online 1,697 37.5% 30% 14% 6% — 12.5% — 50% 50%
7–11 October 2024 Newspoll[31] Online 1,258 38% 31% 12% 7% — 12% — 49% 51%
2–6 October 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,139 34% 32% 12% 8% 1% 9% 5% 49% 47%
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2024 Roy Morgan[32] Online 1,697 37.5% 31.5% 12.5% 5.5% — 13% — 50% 50%
1–5 October 2024 Resolve Strategic[33] Online 1,606 38% 30% 12% 5% — 15% — 50% 50%
23–29 September 2024 Roy Morgan[34] Online 1,668 38% 30% 13.5% 4.5% — 14% — 49% 51%
18–22 September 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,117 35% 29% 12% 8% 2% 9% 5% 47% 48%
16–22 September 2024 Roy Morgan[35] Online 1,662 37.5% 32% 12.5% 5% — 13% — 50.5% 49.5%
16–20 September 2024 Newspoll[36] Online 1,249 38% 31% 13% 6% — 12% — 50% 50%
13–19 September 2024 YouGov[37] Online 1,619 39% 30% 14% 7% — 10% — 50% 50%
13–15 September 2024 Freshwater Strategy[38] Online 1,057 42% 30% 13% — — 15% — 48% 52%
9–15 September 2024 Roy Morgan[39] Online 1,634 37.5% 30.5% 12.5% 5.5% — 14% — 50.5% 49.5%
2–8 September 2024 Roy Morgan[40] Online 1,703 36.5% 30% 14.5% 6% — 13% — 51% 49%
3–7 September 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,132 35% 30% 13% 8% 1% 8% 5% 48% 48%
3–7 September 2024 Resolve Strategic[41] Online 1,614 37% 28% 13% 6% 1% 15% — 50% 50%
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2024 Roy Morgan[42] Online 1,697 36% 30.5% 13% 6% — 14.5% — 50.5% 49.5%
26–30 August 2024 Newspoll[43] Online 1,263 38% 32% 12% 7% — 11% — 50% 50%
6–29 August 2024 Wolf & Smith[44][45][46] Online 10,239 36% 29% 13% 6% — 15% — 51% 49%
23–28 August 2024 YouGov[47] Online 1,543 37% 32% 13% 8% — 10% — 50% 50%
20–27 August 2024 RedBridge Group[48] Online 2,017 38% 33% 12% — — 17% — 50.5% 49.5%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024 Accent Research/
RedBridge Group[49][50][51] 		Online 5,976 38% 32% 12% — — 18% — 50% 50%
19–25 August 2024 Roy Morgan[52] Online 1,701 39.5% 29.5% 13% 4% — 14% — 49.5% 50.5%
20–24 August 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,129 33% 29% 13% 7% 1% 11% 6% 48% 46%
16–18 August 2024 Freshwater Strategy[53] Online 1,061 41% 32% 12% — — 15% — 49% 51%
12–18 August 2024 Roy Morgan[54] Online 1,698 38.5% 30.5% 13.5% 4% — 13.5% — 50.5% 49.5%
8–11 August 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,132 34% 28% 14% 7% 1% 9% 6% 47% 47%
7–11 August 2024 Resolve Strategic[55] Online 1,607 37% 29% 13% 6% 2% 13% — 50% 50%
5–11 August 2024 Roy Morgan[56] Online 1,671 38% 29.5% 14% 5% — 13.5% — 50% 50%
5–9 August 2024 Newspoll[57] Online 1,266 39% 32% 12% 6% — 11% — 50% 50%
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2024 Roy Morgan[58] Online 1,655 37% 30.5% 12% 5.5% — 15% — 51.5% 48.5%
24–28 July 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,137 34% 32% 11% 7% 2% 9% 6% 47% 46%
22–28 July 2024 Roy Morgan[59] Online 1,652 37.5% 30.5% 13% 6.5% — 12.5% — 50.5% 49.5%
19–21 July 2024 Freshwater Strategy[60] Online 1,060 40% 31% 13% — — 16% — 49% 51%
15–21 July 2024 Roy Morgan[61] Online 1,752 39.5% 31.5% 13% 5% — 11% — 49% 51%
15–19 July 2024 Newspoll[62] Online 1,258 38% 33% 13% 6% — 10% — 51% 49%
10–19 July 2024 RedBridge Group[63] Online 1,505 41% 32% 11% — — 16% — 48.5% 51.5%
12–17 July 2024 YouGov[64] Online 1,528 38% 31% 13% 7% — 11% — 51% 49%
10–14 July 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,122 33% 29% 13% 8% 3% 9% 6% 46% 48%
8–14 July 2024 Roy Morgan[65] Online 1,758 37.5% 31% 12.5% 5% — 14% — 49.5% 50.5%
10–13 July 2024 Resolve Strategic[66] Online 1,603 38% 28% 13% 6% 1% 13% — 50% 50%
1–7 July 2024 Roy Morgan[67] Online 1,723 39.5% 28.5% 13.5% 5% — 13.5% — 48% 52%
26–30 June 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,141 33% 30% 12% 7% 1% 10% 7% 46% 47%
24–30 June 2024 Roy Morgan[68] Online 1,708 36.5% 31.5% 13% 4.5% — 14.5% — 51% 49%
24–28 June 2024 Newspoll[69] Online 1,260 36% 32% 13% 7% — 12% — 51% 49%
17–23 June 2024 Roy Morgan[70] Online 1,696 37% 31.5% 13% 6% — 12.5% — 51% 49%
14–16 June 2024 Freshwater Strategy[71] Online 1,060 40% 32% 13% — — 15% — 50% 50%
12–16 June 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,181 32% 31% 13% 8% 1% 9% 6% 48% 46%
10–16 June 2024 Roy Morgan[72] Online 1,724 38% 29.5% 13.5% 5% — 14% — 50% 50%
11–15 June 2024 Resolve Strategic[73] Online 1,607 36% 28% 14% 6% 1% 15% — 51% 49%
3–9 June 2024 Roy Morgan[74] Online 1,687 35% 30.5% 15.5% 5.5% — 13.5% — 53.5% 46.5%
3–7 June 2024 Newspoll[75] Online 1,232 39% 33% 11% 7% — 10% — 50% 50%
31 May – 4 Jun 2024 YouGov[76] Online 1,500 38% 30% 14% 8% — 10% — 50% 50%
29 May – 2 Jun 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,160 36% 32% 13% 5% 3% 8% 4% 48% 48%
27 May – 2 Jun 2024 Roy Morgan[77] Online 1,579 36% 31% 14% 4.5% — 14.5% — 52% 48%
20–26 May 2024 Roy Morgan[78] Online 1,488 37% 28.5% 15% 6% — 13.5% — 48.5% 51.5%
17–19 May 2024 Freshwater Strategy[79] Online 1,056 40% 32% 14% — — 14% — 50% 50%
16–19 May 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,149 34% 31% 10% 8% 1% 8% 6% 46% 47%
15–19 May 2024 Resolve Strategic[80] Online 1,602 36% 29% 12% 7% 2% 14% — 50% 50%
13–19 May 2024 Roy Morgan[81] Online 1,674 37% 30.5% 14.5% 5.5% — 12.5% — 50.5% 49.5%
16–18 May 2024 Newspoll[82] Online 1,280 37% 34% 13% 7% — 9% — 52% 48%
10–14 May 2024 YouGov[83] Online 1,506 38% 30% 13% 8% — 11% — 50% 50%
6–12 May 2024 Roy Morgan[84] Online 1,654 37% 32% 13.5% 5.5% — 12% — 52% 48%
1–5 May 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,150 34% 31% 13% 7% 1% 7% 7% 46% 47%
29 April – 5 May 2024 Roy Morgan[85] Online 1,666 37% 30% 13% 6% — 14% — 52% 48%
22–28 April 2024 Roy Morgan[86] Online 1,719 36.5% 31.5% 14% 5.5% — 12.5% — 52% 48%
19–23 April 2024 YouGov[87] Online 1,514 36% 33% 13% 8% — 10% — 52% 48%
17–21 April 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,145 35% 31% 11% 9% 1% 9% 4% 47% 49%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[88] Online 1,610 36% 30% 13% 5% 2% 14% — 50% 50%
15–21 April 2024 Roy Morgan[89] Online 1,617 35.5% 30.5% 16% 5.5% — 12.5% — 52% 48%
12–21 April 2024 RedBridge Group[90] Online 1,529 37% 33% 12% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
15–18 April 2024 Newspoll[91] Online 1,236 38% 33% 12% 7% — 10% — 51% 49%
12–14 April 2024 Freshwater Strategy[92] Online 1,055 40% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
8–14 April 2024 Roy Morgan[93] Online 1,706 38.5% 30% 13.5% 5.5% — 12.5% — 49% 51%
13 April 2024 The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election
3–7 April 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,165 34% 29% 14% 6% 2% 8% 6% 48% 46%
1–7 April 2024 Roy Morgan[94] Online 1,731 38% 29.5% 13.5% 6% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
25–31 March 2024 Roy Morgan[95] Online 1,677 37.5% 30% 15.5% 3.5% — 13.5% — 51% 49%
22–27 March 2024 YouGov[96] Online 1,513 38% 32% 13% 7% — 10% — 51% 49%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[97] Online 1,610 35% 32% 13% 5% 2% 13% — 53% 47%
20–24 March 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,150 36% 29% 11% 7% 3% 7% 6% 44% 50%
18–24 March 2024 Roy Morgan[98] Online 1,633 38% 31.5% 14% 4.5% — 12% — 50% 50%
18–22 March 2024 Newspoll[99] Online 1,223 37% 32% 13% 7% — 11% — 51% 49%
11–17 March 2024 Roy Morgan[100] Online 1,710 37% 31.5% 12.5% 5.5% — 13.5% — 51.5% 48.5%
8–10 March 2024 Freshwater Strategy[101] Online 1,051 39% 31% 14% — — 16% — 51% 49%
4–10 March 2024 Roy Morgan[102] Online 1,714 38% 32% 13% 4% — 13% — 51.5% 48.5%
5–9 March 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,126 35% 32% 11% 8% 2% 8% 5% 48% 47%
24 Feb  – 5 Mar 2024 YouGov[103] Online 1,539 37% 32% 15% 6% — 10% — 52% 48%
26 Feb  – 3 Mar 2024 Roy Morgan[104] Online 1,679 36.5% 34% 13.5% 3.5% — 12.5% — 53.5% 46.5%
2 March 2024 Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election
21–25 February 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,145 35% 30% 13% 7% 2% 8% 4% 47% 48%
19–25 February 2024 Roy Morgan[105] Online 1,682 38% 31.5% 12% 5% — 13.5% — 50% 50%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[106] Online 1,603 37% 34% 11% 6% 1% 13% — 52% 48%
19–23 February 2024 Newspoll[107] Online 1,245 36% 33% 12% 6% — 13% — 52% 48%
16–18 February 2024 Freshwater Strategy[108] Online 1,049 38% 31% 14% — — 17% — 51% 49%
12–18 February 2024 Roy Morgan[109] Online 1,706 37% 34% 13% 4% — 12% — 52.5% 47.5%
7–11 February 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,148 34% 31% 14% 7% 1% 9% 5% 50% 46%
5–11 February 2024 Roy Morgan[110] Online 1,699 37% 34.5% 12% 4.5% — 12% — 52% 48%
2–7 February 2024 YouGov[111] Online 1,502 36% 32% 14% 8% — 10% — 52% 48%
30 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 RedBridge Group[112] Online 2,040 38% 33% 13% — — 16% — 51.2% 48.8%
29 Jan – 4 Feb 2024 Roy Morgan[113] Online 1,709 37% 33% 12% 5% — 13% — 53% 47%
31 Jan – 3 Feb 2024 Newspoll[114] Online 1,245 36% 34% 12% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
24–28 January 2024 Essential[12] Online 1,201 34% 32% 13% 7% 2% 7% 5% 48% 46%
22–28 January 2024 Roy Morgan[115] Online 1,688 37.5% 31% 13% 5.5% — 13% — 50.5% 49.5%
15–21 January 2024 Roy Morgan[116] Online 1,675 36% 32.5% 12.5% 5% — 14% — 52.5% 47.5%
12–17 January 2024 YouGov[117] Online 1,532 37% 32% 13% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
8–14 January 2024 Roy Morgan[118] Online 1,727 37% 31.5% 12% 4.5% — 15% — 51.5% 48.5%
10–11 January 2024 Freshwater

Strategy[119][120][121]

Online 1,007 39% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
2–7 January 2024 Roy Morgan[122] Online 1,716 39% 29% 13% 5% — 14% — 49% 51%

2023

[edit]
Date Brand Interview
mode 		Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
15–17 December 2023 Freshwater Strategy[123] Online 1,109 39% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
11–17 December 2023 Roy Morgan[124] Online 1,109 38% 32% 11.5% 4.5% — 14% — 50% 50%
11–15 December 2023 Newspoll[125] Online 1,219 36% 33% 13% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
6–11 December 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,102 34% 31% 13% 6% 2% 9% 5% 49% 46%
6–11 December 2023 RedBridge Group[126] Online 2,010 35% 33% 13% — — 19% — 52.8% 47.2%
1–5 December 2023 YouGov[127][128] Online 1,555 36% 29% 15% 7% — 13% — 51% 49%
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 Resolve Strategic[129][130] Online 1,605 34% 35% 12% 5% 1% 12% — 55% 45%
27 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 Roy Morgan[131] — 1,730 37.5% 32.5% 12.5% 5% — 12.5% — 51% 49%
22–26 November 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,151 34% 31% 13% 7% 1% 8% 6% 48% 47%
20–26 November 2023 Roy Morgan[132] — 1,379 35% 32% 13.5% 5% — 14.5% — 52.5% 47.5%
20–24 November 2023 Newspoll[133] Online 1,216 38% 31% 13% 6% — 12% — 50% 50%
13–19 November 2023 Roy Morgan[134] — 1,401 37.5% 29.5% 13.5% 6.5% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
10–14 November 2023 YouGov[135] Online 1,582 36% 31% 13% 7% — 13% — 51% 49%
8–12 November 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,150 34% 32% 12% 7% 2% 8% 5% 49% 47%
6–12 November 2023 Roy Morgan[136] — 1,397 36.5% 30% 13% 6% — 14.5% — 50% 50%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[137] Online 1,602 30% 35% 13% 7% 2% 13% — 57% 43%
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 Newspoll[138] Online 1,220 37% 35% 12% 6% — 10% — 52% 48%
27 Oct – 2 Nov 2023 RedBridge Group[139] Online 1,205 35% 34% 14% — — 17% — 53.5% 46.5%
25–29 October 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,149 34% 32% 10% 7% 3% 9% 6% 48% 46%
23–29 October 2023 Roy Morgan[140] — 1,375 35% 32.5% 15% — — 17.5% — 53% 47%
16–22 October 2023 Roy Morgan[141] — 1,383 36% 32% 14% 4.5% — 13.5% — 49.5% 50.5%
14 October 2023 The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated
4–12 October 2023 Newspoll[142] Online 2,638 35% 36% 12% 6% — 11% — 54% 46%
6–10 October 2023 YouGov[143] Online 1,519 36% 33% 14% 6% — 11% — 53% 47%
3–6 October 2023 Newspoll[144][145] Online 1,225 36% 34% 12% 5% — 13% — 53% 47%
22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic[146][147] Online 4,728 31% 37% 12% 7% 2% 11% — 57% 43%
27 Sept – 1 Oct 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,125 32% 33% 14% 6% 2% 7% 5% 50% 45%
25–29 September 2023 YouGov[148][149] Online 1,563 35% 33% 13% — — 19% — 53% 47%
22–24 September 2023 Freshwater Strategy[150] Online 1,003 37% 33% 13% — — 17% — 51% 49%
18–22 September 2023 Newspoll[151][152] Online 1,239 36% 36% 11% 6% — 11% — 54% 46%
13–17 September 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,135 32% 31% 13% 8% 2% 8% 6% 49% 45%
4–10 September 2023 Roy Morgan[153] — 1,382 37% 32% 13.5% — — 17.5% — 52.5% 47.5%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[154][155] Online 1,604 34% 36% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 55.5% 44.5%
30 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 RedBridge Group[156] Online 1,001 36% 37% 13% — — 14% — 54.1% 45.9%
30 Aug – 3 Sep 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,151 32% 31% 15% 7% 2% 7% 6% 51% 43%
28 Aug – 3 Sep 2023 Roy Morgan[157] — 1,404 37.5% 33.5% 13% — — 16% — 53% 47%
28 Aug– 1 Sep 2023 Newspoll[158] Online 1,200 37% 35% 13% 7% — 8% — 53% 47%
16–20 August 2023 Essential[12][159] Online 1,151 33% 33% 14% 5% 3% 7% 6% 51% 43%
10–14 August 2023 RedBridge Group[160] Online 1,010 32% 38% 10% — — 21% — 55.6% 44.4%
9–13 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[161][162] Online 1,603 33% 37% 11% 5% 2% 12% — 56% 44%
2–6 August 2023 Essential[12][163] Online 1,150 30% 33% 12% 8% 2% 8% 6% 52% 42%
19–23 July 2023 Essential[12][164] Online 1,150 32% 31% 14% 7% 1% 9% 6% 50% 45%
15 July 2023 LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[165][166] Online 1,610 30% 39% 11% 6% 1% 11% — 59% 41%
12–15 July 2023 Newspoll[167][168] Online 1,570 34% 36% 12% 7% — 11% — 55% 45%
5–9 July 2023 Essential[12][169] Online 2,248 32% 32% 14% 8% 1% 8% 5% 51% 44%
21–25 June 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,148 30% 32% 14% 7% 2% 11% 6% 52% 42%
16–24 June 2023 Newspoll[170][171] Online 2,303 35% 38% 11% 6% — 10% — 54% 46%
7–11 June 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,123 32% 32% 16% 5% 1% 9% 5% 52% 42%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[172][173] Online 1,606 30% 40% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 60% 40%
31 May – 3 Jun 2023 Newspoll[174][175] Online 1,549 34% 38% 12% 6% — 10% — 55% 45%
24–28 May 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,138 31% 34% 15% 6% 2% 7% 5% 52% 43%
15–17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[176][177] Online 1,005 37% 34% 12% — — 17% — 52% 48%
10–14 May 2023 Essential[12][178] Online 1,080 31% 35% 14% 5% 1% 8% 5% 53% 42%
11–13 May 2023 Newspoll[179][180] Online 1,516 34% 38% 11% 7% — 10% — 55% 45%
10–13 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[181][182] Online 1,610 30% 42% 12% 5% 2% 8% 2% 61% 39%
26–30 April 2023 Essential[12][183] Online 1,130 32% 33% 14% 5% 2% 8% 5% 53% 41%
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll[184][185] Online 1,514 33% 38% 11% 7% — 11% — 56% 44%
12–16 April 2023 Essential[12][186] Online 1,136 31% 34% 14% 6% 3% 9% 4% 52% 43%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[187][188] Online 1,609 28% 42% 12% 6% 1% 11% — 61.5% 38.5%
29 Mar – 2 Apr 2023 Essential[12][189] Online 1,133 30% 33% 14% 6% 2% 10% 5% 53% 42%
29 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 Newspoll[190] Online 1,500 33% 38% 10% 8% — 11% — 55% 45%
1 April 2023 Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election
15–20 March 2023 Essential[12][191] Online 1,124 31% 34% 14% 5% 2% 9% 5% 52% 43%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[192][191] Online 1,600 30% 39% 13% 5% 1% 11% — 60% 40%
1–5 March 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,141 32% 32% 12% 7% 2% 10% 7% 49% 44%
27 Feb – 5 Mar 2023 Roy Morgan — — 33.5% 38% 11.5% — — 17% — 54.5% 45.5%
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll[193] Online 1,530 35% 37% 10% 7% — 11% — 54% 46%
20–26 February 2023 Roy Morgan — — 34.5% 37% 13.5% — — 15% — 56.5% 43.5%
15–19 February 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,044 30% 33% 14% 6% 3% 8% 8% 51% 42%
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[194][195] Online 1,604 31% 40% 10% 5% 1% 11% — 58% 42%
13–19 February 2023 Roy Morgan Online/
Telephone 		— 33% 37% 13% — — 17% — 58.5% 41.5%
1–6 February 2023 Essential[12] Online 1,000 30% 33% 17% 6% 1% 15% 5% 55% 40%
1–4 February 2023 Newspoll[196][197] Online 1,512 34% 38% 11% 6% 1% 10% — 55% 45%
23–29 January 2023 Roy Morgan — — 33.5% 37.5% 11.5% — — 17.5% — 57% 43%
18–22 January 2023 Essential[12][198] Online 1,050 31% 34% 14% 8% 1% 7% 5% 53% 42%
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[199][198] Online 1,606 29% 42% 11% 6% 2% 11% — 60% 40%

2022

[edit]
Date Brand Interview
mode 		Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
23 December 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent
16–18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy[200][201][202] Online 1,209 37% 37% 12% 4% 1% 9% — 54% 46%
7–11 December 2022 Essential[12] Online 1,042 30% 35% 13% 6% 3% 8% 5% 51% 44%
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022 Resolve Strategic[203][204] Online 1,611 30% 42% 11% 4% 2% 8% — 60% 40%
30 Nov – 3 Dec 2022 Newspoll[205] Online 1,508 35% 39% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45%
23–27 November 2022 Essential[205][206] Online 1,042 31% 33% 13% — — 17% 6% 51% 43%
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[207] Online 1,500 35% 38% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[208][207] Online 1,611 32% 39% 13% 4% 1% 11% — 58% 42%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[209][210] Online 1,604 30% 39% 12% 5% 3% 11% — 58.5% 41.5%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[211][212] Online 1,607 32% 39% 10% 6% 2% 11% — 56.5% 43.5%
31 Aug – 3 Sep 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[213][214] Online 1,505 31% 37% 13.5% 7% 2% 10% — 57% 43%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[215][216] Online 2,011 28% 42% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 61% 39%
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[217][218] Online 1,508 33% 37% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 56% 44%
14–17 June 2022 Dynata[219] Online 1,001 31% 34% 12% 4% 4% 7% 9% 52.2% 47.8%
13–19 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] Online/
telephone 		1,401 37% 36% 11% 4% 0.5% 11.5% — 53% 47%
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party[221]
21 May 2022 Election[222][223] 35.7% 32.6% 12.2% 5.0% 4.1% 10.4% — 52.1% 47.9%
  1. ^ a b c d Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and Kevin Bonham.

Preferred prime minister and leadership polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.

Preferred prime minister

[edit]

Leadership approval ratings

[edit]
Albanese
[edit]

Dutton
[edit]

Preferred prime minister and leadership polling table

[edit]
2025
[edit]
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
17–19 January 2025 Freshwater Strategy[1] Online 1,063 43% 43% 14% 0% 32% 50% 18% −18% 36% 40% 24% −4%
9–15 January 2025 YouGov[3] Online 1,504 44% 40% 16% 4% 40% 55% 5% −15% 43% 49% 8% −6%
2024
[edit]
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
13–15 December 2024 Freshwater Strategy[6] Online 1,051 46% 43% 11% 3% 34% 51% 15% −17% 37% 40% 23% −3%
11–15 December 2024 Essential[7] Online 1,151 — — — — 39% 50% 11% −11% 44% 41% 15% +3%
4–8 December 2024 Resolve Strategic[9] Online 1,604 35% 35% 30% 0% 31% 57% 12% −26% 40% 42% 18% −2%
2–6 December 2024 Newspoll[11] Online 1,258 45% 38% 17% 7% 40% 54% 6% −14% 39% 51% 10% −12%
15–21 November 2024 YouGov[16] Online 1,515 42% 39% 19% 3% 36% 56% 8% −20% 40% 48% 12% −8%
13–18 November 2024 Essential[224] Online 1,206 — — — — 43% 48% 10% −5% 42% 41% 16% +1%
15–17 November 2024 Freshwater Strategy[18] Online 1,046 43% 42% 15% 1% 33% 50% 17% −17% 37% 41% 22% −4%
5–10 November 2024 Resolve Strategic[21][22] Online 1,621 37% 37% 26% 0% 37% 51% 12% −14% 45% 40% 15% +5%
4-8 November 2024 Newspoll[24] Online 1,261 45% 41% 14% 4% 40% 55% 5% −15% 40% 51% 9% −11%
18–20 October 2024 Freshwater Strategy[28] Online 1,034 44% 43% 13% 1% 35% 49% 16% −14% 37% 39% 24% −2%
16–20 October 2024 Essential[225] Online 1,140 — — — — 44% 48% 8% −4% 45% 39% 16% +6%
4–16 October 2024 RedBridge Group[226] Online 2,315 — — — — 34% 53% 13% −19% 39% 42% 19% −3%
7–11 October 2024 Newspoll[31] Online 1,258 45% 37% 18% 8% 40% 54% 6% −14% 38% 52% 10% −14%
1–5 October 2024 Resolve Strategic[33] Online 1,606 38% 35% 27% 3% 35% 52% 13% −17% 41% 41% 18% 0%
18–22 September 2024 Essential[227] Online 1,117 — — — — 42% 47% 11% −5% 42% 42% 16% 0%
16–20 September 2024 Newspoll[36] Online 1,249 46% 37% 17% 9% 43% 51% 6% −8% 37% 52% 11% −15%
13–19 September 2024 YouGov[37] Online 1,619 42% 39% 19% 3% 36% 58% 6% −22% 40% 50% 10% −10%
13–15 September 2024 Freshwater Strategy[38] Online 1,057 45% 41% 14%[a] 4% 34% 49% 17% −15% 34% 38% 28% −4%
3–7 September 2024 Resolve Strategic[41] Online 1,614 35% 34% 31% 1% 35% 53% 12% −18% 41% 42% 17% −1%
26–30 August 2024 Newspoll[43] Online 1,263 45% 37% 18% 8% 41% 54% 5% −13% 39% 52% 9% −13%
23–28 August 2024 YouGov[47] Online 1,543 43% 38% 19% 5% 41% 52% 7% −11% 42% 47% 11% −5%
20–24 August 2024 Essential[228] Online 1,129 — — — — 40% 50% 10% −10% 42% 41% 16% +1%
16–18 August 2024 Freshwater Strategy[53] Online 1,061 45% 41% 14%[b] 4% 35% 45% 20% −10% 37% 40% 23% −3%
7–11 August 2024 Resolve Strategic[55] Online 1,607 35% 36% 29% 1% 34% 51% 15% −17% 41% 38% 21% +3%
5–9 August 2024 Newspoll[57] Online 1,266 46% 39% 15% 7% 43% 51% 6% −8% 40% 50% 10% −10%
24–28 July 2024 Essential[229] Online 1,137 — — — — 43% 46% 11% −3% 42% 41% 17% +1%
19–21 July 2024 Freshwater Strategy[230] Online 1,060 45% 39% 16%[c] 6% 34% 48% 18% −14% 36% 39% 25% −3%
15–19 July 2024 Newspoll[230] Online 1,258 46% 39% 15% 6% 44% 51% 5% −7% 41% 49% 10% −8%
12–17 July 2024 YouGov[64] Online 1,528 45% 37% 18% 8% 42% 52% 6% −10% 42% 46% 12% −4%
10–13 July 2024 Resolve Strategic[66] Online 1,603 34% 35% 31% 1% 32% 54% 14% −22% 39% 40% 21% −1%
26–30 June 2024 Essential[231] Online 1,141 — — — — 40% 49% 11% −9% 41% 42% 17% −1%
24–28 June 2024 Newspoll[69] Online 1,260 46% 38% 16% 8% 42% 53% 5% −11% 38% 54% 8% −16%
14–16 June 2024 Freshwater Strategy[71] Online 1,060 43% 41% 16%[d] 2% 34% 46% 20% −12% 35% 40% 25% −5%
11–15 June 2024 Resolve Strategic[73] Online 1,607 35% 36% 29% 1% 36% 50% 14% −14% 42% 40% 19% +2%
3–7 June 2024 Newspoll[75] Online 1,232 46% 38% 16% 8% 43% 50% 7% −7% 39% 49% 12% −10%
31 May – 4 June 2024 YouGov[76] Online 1,500 47% 36% 17% 9% 41% 53% 6% –12% 38% 51% 11% −13%
29 May – 2 June 2024 Essential[232] Online 1,160 — — — — 43% 47% 11% −4% 41% 42% 17% −1%
17–19 May 2024 Freshwater Strategy[79] Online 1,056 46% 37% 16%[e] 9% 37% 46% 18% −9% 31% 40% 29% −9%
15–19 May 2024 Resolve Strategic[80] Online 1,602 40% 32% 28% 8% 39% 49% 12% −10% 39% 42% 19% −3%
16–18 May 2024 Newspoll[82] Online 1,280 52% 33% 15% 19% 47% 47% 6% 0% 38% 50% 12% −12%
10–14 May 2024 YouGov[83] Online 1,506 44% 37% 19% 7% 41% 53% 6% −12% 42% 48% 10% −6%
17–21 April 2024 Essential[233] Online 1,145 — — — — 43% 48% 9% −5% 44% 41% 15% +3%
17–21 April 2024 YouGov[f][234] Online 1,092 37% 45% 18% 8% — — — — — — — —
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[88] Online 1,610 41% 32% 27% 9% 43% 45% 12% −2% 40% 42% 17% −2%
15–18 April 2024 Newspoll[91] Online 1,236 48% 35% 17% 13% 44% 50% 6% −6% 36% 51% 13% −15%
12–14 April 2024 Freshwater Strategy[92] Online 1,055 45% 39% 16%[g] 6% 38% 45% 17% −7% 32% 41% 27% −9%
22–27 March 2024 YouGov[96] Online 1,513 46% 34% 20% 12% 41% 52% 7% −11% 38% 49% 13% −11%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[97] Online 1,610 40% 30% 30% 10% 38% 49% 13% −11% 36% 44% 20% −8%
18–22 March 2024 Newspoll[99] Online 1,223 48% 34% 18% 14% 44% 51% 5% −7% 37% 52% 11% −15%
8–10 March 2024 Freshwater Strategy[101] Online 1,051 47% 38% 15%[h] 9% 37% 45% 18% −8% 30% 43% 27% −13%
24 February – 5 March 2024 YouGov[103] Online 1,539 48% 34% 18% 14% 44% 50% 6% −6% 39% 49% 12% −10%
21–25 February 2024 Essential[235] Online 1,145 — — — — 42% 47% 10% −5% 40% 44% 16% −4%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[106] Online 1,603 39% 32% 29% 7% 41% 47% 12% −6% 35% 45% 20% −10%
19–23 February 2024 Newspoll[107] Online 1,245 47% 35% 18% 12% 43% 51% 6% −8% 37% 51% 12% −14%
16–18 February 2024 Freshwater Strategy[236] Online 1,049 42% 38% 19%[i] 4% 38% 45% 18% −7% 32% 41% 28% −9%
2–7 February 2024 YouGov[111] Online 1,502 45% 38% 17% 7% — — — −16% — — — −8%
31 January – 3 February 2024 Newspoll[114][237] Online 1,245 46% 35% 19% 11% 42% 51% 7% −9% 37% 50% 13% −13%
24–28 January 2024 Essential[238] Online 1,201 — — — — 41% 47% 12% −6% 38% 43% 19% −5%
12–17 January 2024 YouGov[117] Online 1,532 45% 35% 20% 10% — — — −13% — — — −11%
10–11 January 2024 Freshwater Strategy[119][120][121] Online 1,007 47% 38% 15%[j] 9% 38% 43% 19% −5% 31% 40% 30% −9%
2023
[edit]
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
15–17 December 2023 Freshwater Strategy[123] Online 1,109 43% 39% 18%[k] 37% 42% 20% −5% 34% 36% 30% −2%
11–15 December 2023 Newspoll[125] Online 1,219 46% 35% 19% 42% 50% 8% −8% 39% 48% 13% −9%
1–5 December 2023 YouGov[127][128] Online 1,555 46% 36% 18% 39% 55% 6% −16% 39% 48% 13% −9%
29 November – 3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic[129] Online 1,605 42% 28% 30% 37% 48% 15% −11% 34% 42% 24% −8%
22–26 November 2023 Essential[239] Online 1,151 — — — 42% 47% 12% −5% 39% 42% 19% −3%
20–24 November 2023 Newspoll[133] Online 1,216 46% 35% 19% 40% 53% 7% −13% 37% 50% 13% −13%
10–14 November 2023 YouGov[135][240] Online 1,582 48% 34% 18% 43% 50% 7% −7% 40% 47% 13% −7%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[137] Online 1,602 40% 27% 33% 39% 46% 15% −7% 36% 40% 25% −4%
30 October – 3 November 2023 Newspoll[138] Online 1,220 46% 36% 18% 42% 52% 6% −10% 37% 50% 13% −13%
11–14 October 2023 Essential[241] Online 1,125 — — — 46% 43% 11% +3% 36% 43% 21% −7%
4–12 October 2023 Newspoll[142] Online 2,638 51% 31% 18% 46% 46% 8% 0% 35% 53% 12% −18%
6–10 October 2023 YouGov[143][240] Online 1,519 50% 34% 16% 45% 48% 7% −3% 38% 50% 12% −12%
3–6 October 2023 Newspoll[144][145] Online 1,225 50% 33% 17% 45% 46% 9% −1% 37% 50% 13% −13%
22 September – 4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic[146][147] Online 1,604 47% 25% 28% 43% 43% 14% 0% 30% 45% 25% −15%
25–29 September 2023 YouGov[148][240] Online 1,563 50% 33% 17% — — — — — — — —
22–24 September 2023 Freshwater Strategy[150] Online 1,003 46% 37% 17%[l] 38% 41% 21% −3% 30% 40% 30% −10%
18–22 September 2023 Newspoll[151][152] Online 1,239 50% 30% 20% 47% 44% 9% +3% 32% 52% 16% −20%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[154][155] Online 1,604 43% 28% 29% 40% 47% 13% −7% 35% 43% 22% −8%
30 August – 3 September 2023 Essential[242] Online 1,151 — — — 46% 43% 10% +3% 38% 43% 19% −5%
28 August – 1 September 2023 Newspoll[158] Online 1,200 50% 31% 19% 46% 47% 7% −1% 38% 49% 13% −11%
9–13 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[161][162] Online 1,603 46% 25% 29% 44% 42% 14% +2% 31% 44% 24% −13%
19–23 July 2023 Essential[164][243] Online 1,150 — — — 48% 41% 11% +7% 37% 43% 20% −6%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[165][166] Online 1,610 51% 21% 28% 51% 34% 15% +17% 31% 47% 23% −16%
12–15 July 2023 Newspoll[167] Online 1,570 54% 29% 17% 52% 41% 7% +11% 36% 49% 15% −13%
16–24 June 2023 Newspoll[170] Online 2,303 52% 32% 16% 52% 42% 6% +10% 38% 49% 13% −11%
29 May – 12 June 2023 CT Group[244] Online 3,000 — — — 42% 36% 22% +6% — — — —
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[172][173] Online 1,606 53% 22% 25% 53% 35% 13% +18% 28% 48% 24% −20%
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll[174] Online 1,549 55% 28% 17% 55% 37% 8% +18% 36% 50% 14% −14%
15–17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[176][177] Online 1,005 51% 33% 16%[m] 42% 37% 21% +5% 30% 42% 28% −12%
10–14 May 2023 Essential[245] Online 1,125 — — — 54% 35% 11% +19% 36% 45% 19% −9%
11–13 May 2023 Newspoll[179][180] Online 1,516 56% 29% 15% 57% 38% 5% +19% 36% 51% 13% −15%
10–13 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[181][182] Online 1,610 53% 20% 27% 56% 29% 14% +27% 28% 49% 23% −21%
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll[184][185] Online 1,514 54% 28% 18% 53% 37% 10% +16% 33% 52% 15% −19%
12–16 April 2023 Essential[246] Online 1,136 — — — 51% 36% 12% +15% 36% 44% 20% −8%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[187][188] Online 1,609 55% 21% 24% 56% 29% 14% +27% 26% 54% 19% −28%
29 March – 2 April 2023 Essential[247] Online 1,133 — — — 52% 35% 13% +17% — — — —
29 March – 1 April 2023 Newspoll Online 1,500 58% 26% 16% 56% 35% 9% +21% 35% 48% 21% −13%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[192][191] Online 1,600 51% 22% 27% 55% 31% 13% +24% 32% 44% 25% −12%
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll Online 1,530 54% 28% 18% 55% 38% 7% +17% 37% 48% 15% −11%
15–21 February 2023 Morning Consult — — — — — 57% 31% 12% +26% — — — —
15–19 February 2023 Essential[248] Online 1,044 — — — 53% 34% 13% +19% — — — —
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[194][195] Online 1,604 55% 23% 22% 56% 30% 13% +26% 29% 45% 26% −16%
1–4 February 2023 Newspoll[196][197] Online 1,512 56% 26% 18% 57% 33% 10% +24% 36% 46% 18% −10%
18–22 January 2023 Essential[249] Online 1,050 — — — 55% 31% 13% +24% — — — —
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[199][198] Online 1,606 55% 20% 25% 60% 25% 15% +35% 28% 46% 26% −18%
2022
[edit]
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
16–18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy[200][201][202] Online 1,209 55% 29% 16%[n] – – – – – – – –
7–11 December 2022 Essential[250] Online 1,042 – – – 60% 27% 13% +33% – – – –
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[203][204] Online 1,611 54% 19% 27% 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 43% 29% –15%
30 November – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[205] Online 1,508 59% 24% 17% 62% 29% 9% +33% 36% 45% 19% –9%
16–22 November 2022 Morning Consult[251] Online — – – – 56% 31% 25% +25% – – – –
9–14 November 2022 Essential[252] Online 1,035 – – – 60% 27% 13% +33% – – – –
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll[207] Online 1,500 54% 27% 19% 59% 33% 8% +26% 39% 46% 15% –7%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[208][207][253] Online 1,611 53% 19% 28% 57% 28% 16% +29% 29% 41% 30% –12%
13–16 October 2022 Freshwater Strategic[o][254] Online 1,042 – – – 50% 26% 24% +24% 33% 34% 33% –1%
11–16 October 2022 Essential[255] Online 1,122 – – – 58% 26% 15% +32% – – – –
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[209][210] Online 1,604 53% 18% 29% 60% 25% 15% +35% 30% 41% 28% –11%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[211][212] Online 1,607 53% 19% 28% 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 40% 32% –12%
31 August – 4 September 2022 Essential[256] Online 1,070 — — — 59% 25% 15% +34% — — — —
31 August – 3 September 2022 Newspoll[213] Online 1,505 61% 22% 17% 61% 29% 10% +32% 35% 43% 22% –8%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[215][216] Online 2,011 55% 17% 28% 61% 22% 17% +39% 30% 37% 32% –7%
3–7 August 2022 Essential[257] Online 1,075 — — — 55% 28% 18% +27% — — — —
27–30 July 2022 [Newspoll][217] Online 1,508 59% 25% 16% 61% 26% 13% +35% 37% 41% 22% –4%
7–11 July 2022 Essential[258] Online 1,097 — — — 56% 24% 20% +32% — — — —
8–12 June 2022 Essential[259] Online 1,087 — — — 59% 18% 23% +41% — — — —
23–31 May 2022 Morning Consult[260] Online 3,770 — — — 51% 24% 25% +27% — — — —
  1. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  2. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  3. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  4. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  5. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  6. ^ Polling conducted in Queensland.
  7. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  8. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  9. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 16% "Neither"
  10. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  11. ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 13% "Neither"
  12. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 14% "Neither"
  13. ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  14. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  15. ^ Polling conducted in NSW.

Sub-national polling

[edit]

New South Wales

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
4–8 December 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 509 38% 27% 13% 9% — 11% 2% 49% 51%
5–10 November 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 515 38% 30% 10% 6% — 13% 3% 50.5% 49.5%
1–5 October 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 510 39% 31% 10% 5% — 11% 4% 49.5% 50.5%
15 July – 20 September 2024 Newspoll[261] 1,592 38% 30% 12% 7% — — 13% 49% 51%
3–7 September 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 513 37% 30% 12% 6% 1% 12% 3% 50.5% 49.5%
7–11 August 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 510 39% 29% 12% 4% 2% 9% 4% 49% 51%
10–13 July 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 509 39% 27% 13% 6% 1% 12% 2% 48.5% 51.5%
15 April – 26 June 2024 Newspoll[261] 1,567 40% 33% 11% 6% — — 10% 49% 51%
11–16 June 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 510 37% 29% 12% 5% 2% 12% 3% 50% 50%
15–19 May 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 511 35% 31% 10% 7% 1% 13% 2% 51% 49%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 511 35% 31% 11% 6% 1% 12% 4% 51.5% 48.5%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 511 35% 33% 11% 6% 2% 12% 2% 52.5% 47.5%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[261] 1,152 38% 32% 12% 7% — — 11% 50% 50%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 509 37% 34% 10% 4% 1% 10% 4% 52% 48%
31 October – 15 December 2023 Newspoll[261] 1,139 37% 32% 13% 7% — — 11% 51% 49%
29 November – 3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 510 35% 35% 12% 5% 1% 10% 2% 54.5% 45.5%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 509 31% 37% 14% 6% 1% 8% 4% 58% 42%
28 August – 12 October 2023 Newspoll[261] 1,565 34% 38% 13% 5% — — 10% 56% 44%
22 September – 4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic[146] 1,502 32% 34% 13% 8% 2% 10% 2% 55% 45%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[154] 509 36% 39% 8% 6% 2% 7% 3% 54% 46%
9–12 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[161] 509 34% 42% 11% 4% 1% 8% 1% 58% 42%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[165] 511 32% 39% 10% 9% 0% 8% 2% 56.5% 43.5%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[172] 510 33% 39% 10% 6% 1% 9% 2% 56.5% 43.5%
14–16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[181] 511 30% 46% 9% 5% 1% 7% 2% 61% 39%
21 April 2023 Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 511 30% 43% 9% 6% 1% 8% 2% 59.5% 40.5%
1 February – 3 April 2023 Newspoll[261] 1,414 35% 38% 10% 7% — — 10% 55% 45%
25 March 2023 Labor wins a minority government at the state election
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 508 35% 39% 11% 5% 1% 7% 2% 55.5% 44.5%
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 509 31% 41% 10% 6% 1% 9% 2% 58.5% 41.5%
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 512 31% 40% 10% 8% 2% 7% 2% 57.5% 42.5%
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[261] 512 33% 38% 12% 5% 3% 8% 2% 56.5% 43.5%
27 July – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[261] 1,817 35% 38% 11% 6% — — 10% 55% 45%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[208] 512 32% 41% 10% 6% 1% 8% 2% 57.9% 42.1%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[209] 509 32% 39% 12% 6% 3% 7% 2% 57% 43%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[211] 510 29% 41% 9% 7% 3% 9% 3% 58.5% 41.5%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[215] 639 29% 42% 11% 5% 2% 8% 3% 60.5% 39.5%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] — — — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.5% 33.4% 10% 4.8% 4% 7.6% 3.7% 51.4% 48.6%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales.

Victoria

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
4–8 December 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 404 38% 26% 12% — 5% 12% 7% 50% 50%
5–10 November 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 409 38% 31% 14% — 4% 10% 2% 52.5% 47.5%
1–5 October 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 405 37% 29% 14% — 5% 9% 5% 50.5% 49.5%
15 July – 20 September 2024 Newspoll[261] 1,263 38% 31% 13% — 6% — 12% 52% 48%
3–7 September 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 407 36% 29% 13% 2% 4% 12% 4% 51.5% 48.5%
7–11 August 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 405 33% 30% 13% 1% 6% 13% 3% 53.5% 46.5%
10–13 July 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 404 36% 30% 15% 2% 5% 11% 2% 52.5% 47.5%
15 April – 26 June 2024 Newspoll[261] 393 36% 33% 15% — 6% — 10% 54% 46%
11–16 June 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 405 32% 29% 15% 1% 7% 11% 4% 54% 46%
15–19 May 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 406 34% 29% 14% 2% 6% 12% 2% 52.5% 47.5%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 406 34% 32% 11% 4% 5% 12% 2% 52.5% 47.5%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 406 35% 35% 13% 2% 5% 9% 2% 54.5% 45.5%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[261] 926 34% 33% 16% — 5% — 12% 55% 45%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 404 34% 32% 13% 2% 4% 8% 7% 54% 46%
31 October – 15 December 2023 Newspoll[261] 917 34% 34% 15% — 5% — 12% 55% 45%
29 November – 3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 405 34% 37% 11% 1% 4% 9% 4% 55.5% 44.5%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 404 25% 37% 14% 3% 8% 9% 4% 60.5% 39.5%
28 August – 12 October 2023 Newspoll[261] 887 35% 36% 13% — 4% — 12% 54% 46%
Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan
22 September – 4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic[146] 1,192 30% 39% 11% 2% 6% 8% 2% 58% 42%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[154] 404 32% 40% 13% 2% 3% 8% 2% 58.5% 41.5%
9–12 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[161] 404 30% 38% 14% 1% 3% 10% 4% 59.5% 40.5%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[165] 406 26% 42% 13% 2% 5% 9% 3% 58% 42%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[172] 405 25% 40% 15% 3% 6% 7% 4% 62.5% 37.5%
14–16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[181] 406 25% 48% 12% 1% 4% 7% 2% 66% 34%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 406 32% 39% 11% 2% 3% 11% 3% 57.5% 42.5%
1 February – 3 April 2023 Newspoll[261] 1,193 33% 41% 11% — 4% — 11% 58% 42%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 403 29% 43% 9% 1% 6% 8% 4% 60% 40%
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 404 27% 40% 14% 2% 3% 11% 2% 62% 38%
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 406 31% 41% 13% 2% 3% 7% 4% 59.5% 40.5%
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[261] 406 27% 46% 11% 2% 2% 7% 5% 63.5% 36.5%
26 November 2022 Labor wins a third term at the state election
27 July – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[261] 1,448 33% 37% 13% — 5% — 12% 57% 43%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[208] 406 32% 39% 12% 2% 2% 11% 3% 58% 42%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[209] 404 30% 40% 10% 5% 4% 9% 3% 58% 42%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[211] 405 30% 38% 14% 2% 3% 8% 5% 59.5% 40.5%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[215] 507 24% 42% 11% 3% 5% 10% 5% 63% 37%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] — — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 33.1% 32.9% 13.7% 4.7% 3.8% 6.5% 5.3% 54.8% 45.2%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria.

Queensland

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH LNP ALP
4–8 December 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 326 38% 25% 13% 9% — 8% 7% 54% 46%
5–10 November 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 330 43% 29% 8% 6% — 8% 6% 56% 44%
26 October 2024 State Election 41.5% 32.6% 9.9% 8.0% — 1.7% 6.3% 53.8% 46.2%
26 October 2024 LNP wins a majority government at the state election
4–16 October 2024 RedBridge Group[226] 2,315 41% 28% 13% 10% — — 8% 54.5% 45.5%
1–5 October 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 42% 25% 12% 6% — 13% 2% 55.5% 44.5%
15 July – 20 September 2024 Newspoll[261] 1,053 43% 30% 12% 8% — — 7% 54% 46%
3–7 September 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 328 40% 27% 13% 9% 2% 9% 1% 53.5% 46.5%
7–11 August 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 41% 24% 11% 10% 2% 8% 4% 56% 44%
10–13 July 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 326 44% 23% 10% 7% 0% 14% 1% 57.5% 42.5%
15 April – 26 June 2024 Newspoll[261] 328 40% 27% 13% 10% — — 10% 54% 46%
11–16 June 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 40% 24% 13% 8% 1% 11% 3% 54.5% 45.5%
15–19 May 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 43% 26% 12% 8% 3% 8% 1% 55.5% 44.5%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 40% 25% 14% 9% 2% 8% 2% 54% 46%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 36% 30% 14% 7% 1% 9% 2% 49% 51%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[261] 772 41% 29% 12% 7% — — 11% 53% 47%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[261] 326 44% 32% 9% 9% 2% 3% 1% 54.5% 45.5%
Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles
31 October – 15 December 2023 Newspoll[261] 764 41% 27% 12% 8% — — 12% 54% 46%
29 November – 3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 326 38% 33% 12% 8% 2% 8% 0% 49.5% 50.5%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 326 36% 31% 12% 11% 1% 6% 3% 50% 50%
28 August – 12 October 2023 Newspoll[261] 887 39% 30% 11% 9% — — 11% 52% 48%
22 September – 4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic[146] 961 34% 33% 11% 9% 1% 10% 1% 48% 52%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[154] 326 35% 29% 16% 9% 2% 7% 2% 49% 51%
9–12 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[161] 326 40% 28% 9% 8% 2% 10% 3% 54% 46%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[165] 327 36% 33% 12% 6% 2% 10% 1% 48% 52%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[172] 327 31% 38% 10% 11% 2% 7% 1% 45% 55%
14–16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[181] 327 39% 27% 17% 7% 3% 6% 2% 51.5% 48.5%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 327 29% 37% 15% 8% 2% 7% 2% 42.5% 57.5%
1 February – 3 April 2023 Newspoll[261] 995 39% 33% 10% 8% — — 10% 50% 50%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 325 24% 39% 14% 6% 1% 14% 2% 38.5% 61.5%
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 326 35% 39% 10% 9% 1% 0% 5% 46% 54%
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[261] 328 30% 38% 11% 9% 1% 8% 2% 43.5% 56.5%
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[261] 328 34% 43% 7% 6% 1% 6% 2% 44% 56%
27 July – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[261] 1,207 40% 33% 12% 6% — — 9% 51% 49%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[208] 328 32% 36% 16% 4% 2% 6% 4% 43% 57%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[209] 326 38% 31% 14% 6% 2% 7% 2% 50% 50%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[211] 327 31% 42% 7% 10% 2% 7% 2% 44% 56%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[215] 409 31% 37% 16% 6% 2% 6% 3% 42.5% 57.5%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] — — — — — — — — 50% 50%
21 May 2022 Election 39.6% 27.4% 12.9% 7.5% 5.1% 2.1% 5.4% 54% 46%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland.

Western Australia

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
30 October – 4 November 2024 DemosAU[262] 948 34% 38% 14% 6% — 8% — 52% 48%
1–10 October 2024 Redbridge[263] 1,514 35% 34% — — — — — 54.5% 45.5%
15 July – 20 September 2024 Newspoll[261] 36% 39% 11% 4% — 10% — 52% 48%
15 April – 26 June 2024 Newspoll[261] 156 34% 37% 11% 5% — 13% — 52% 48%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[261] 368 34% 39% 8% 6% — 13% — 49% 51%
31 October – 15 December 2023 Newspoll[261] 364 37% 37% 11% 5% — 10% — 54% 46%
6–13 December 2023 RedBridge[264] 1,203 39% 37% 12% 5% — 7% — 55.2% 44.8%
28 August – 12 October 2023 Newspoll[261] 620 38% 38% 10% 6% — 8% — 53% 47%
Mark McGowan resigns as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook
1 February – 3 April 2023 Newspoll[261] 474 40% 33% 11% 6% — 14% — 57% 43%
Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader
27 July – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[261] 575 39% 34% 9% 7% — 11% — 55% 45%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] 144 — — — — — — — 50.5% 49.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.8% 34.8% 12.5% 4% 2.3% 9.6% — 55% 45%

South Australia

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
15 July – 20 September 2024 Newspoll[261] 374 35% 36% 9% 10% — 10% — 54% 46%
15 April – 26 June 2024 Newspoll[261] 368 34% 34% 11% 12% — 9% — 53% 47%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[261] 278 33% 35% 11% 10% — 11% — 54% 46%
31 October – 15 December 2023 Newspoll[261] 277 35% 38% 10% 6% — 11% — 55% 45%
28 August – 12 October 2023 Newspoll[261] 362 30% 40% 10% 11% — 9% — 57% 43%
1 February – 3 April 2023 Newspoll[261] 362 35% 38% 12% 5% — 10% — 56% 44%
27 July – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[261] 449 35% 40% 12% 6% — 7% — 57% 43%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] 103 — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 35.54% 34.46% 12.77% 4.83% 3.89% 8.51% — 53.97% 46.03%

Tasmania

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN JLN UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
23 March 2024 State Election 36.7% 29% 13.9% 6.7% — 8% 5.7%
28 August – 12 October 2023 Newspoll[261] 366 25% 30% 13% — — 27% 57% 43%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[220] — — — — — — — — 63% 37%
21 May 2022 Election 32.9% 27.3% 12% - 11.2% 10.8% 54.3% 45.7%

Northern Territory

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
CLP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
24 August 2024 Territory Election 48.9% 28.8% 8.1% — 14.2% — 42.6% 57.4%
16–18 November 2023 Redbridge Group[266] 601 40.4% 22.2% 11.1% 11.7% 7.2% 7.4% 43.9% 56.1%
21 May 2022 Election 29.4% 38.2% 13.1% 5.4% 1.3% 12.7% 55.5% 44.5%

Individual seat polling

[edit]

Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.

Main article: Electorate opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election

Electorate Projections

[edit]
Date Brand Sample Size Seat Tally Most Likely Outcome
L/NP ALP GRN OTH
29 October - 20 November 2024 Accent Research/RedBridge Group[267] 4,909 71 65 4 10 Coalition Minority
10 July - 27 August 2024 Accent Research/RedBridge Group[268] 5,976 68 69 3 10 Labor Minority
February - May 2024 Accent Research/RedBridge Group[269] 4,040 60 77 3 11 Labor Majority
21 May 2022 2022 Federal Election 58 77 4 12 Labor Majority

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Some polling forms do not release two-party-preferred results. Results shown for polls conducted by these firms are manually calculated using preference flows in 2022.[265]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "Dutton catches Albanese as preferred PM as law and order worries grow". Australian Financial Review. 19 January 2025. Retrieved 19 January 2025.
  2. ^ "Coalition lead over ALP strengthens in mid-January: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48%". Roy Morgan. 20 January 2025.
  3. ^ a b "Support for Labor slides in first major poll of year". The West Australian. 17 January 2025.
  4. ^ "Coalition lead over ALP tightens in mid-January: L-NP 51.5% cf. ALP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 13 January 2025.
  5. ^ "Coalition strengthens two-party lead L-NP 53% cf. ALP 47%". Roy Morgan. 6 January 2025. Archived from the original on 6 January 2025.
  6. ^ a b "Voters bracing for minority government – Australian Financial Review". www.afr.com.
  7. ^ a b "The Essential Report: Political Insights". Essential Research. Retrieved 17 December 2024.
  8. ^ "Coalition boosts primary support and retains clear two-party preferred lead for Christmas: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48%". Roy Morgan. 16 December 2024.
  9. ^ a b Crowe, David (8 December 2024). "The PM says Labor has your back. Most voters don't believe him". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  10. ^ "Coalition increases lead: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48% – now largest for five months". Roy Morgan. 9 December 2024.
  11. ^ a b "Newspoll: Voters rate Anthony Albanese as weakest leader in decades". The Australian. 8 December 2024.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au "The Essential Report: Political Insights". Essential Research. Retrieved 3 December 2024.
  13. ^ "Coalition regains two-party preferred lead after Albanese Government does deals with the Greens to pass legislation". Roy Morgan. 2 December 2024.
  14. ^ "ALP regains two-party preferred lead as Prime Minister Albanese travels to the APEC and G20 Summits". Roy Morgan. 25 November 2024.
  15. ^ "Australia Poll Federal Voting Intention" (PDF). DemosAU. 25 November 2024. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  16. ^ a b "Support for under-16 social media ban soars to 77% among Australians | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  17. ^ "Weekend miscellany: Accent-RedBridge MRP poll, JWS Research polling, preselection latest (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 25 December 2024.
  18. ^ a b "Freshwater Strategy: 51-49 to Coalition (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 17 November 2024.
  19. ^ "Coalition maintains a narrow two-party preferred lead over Labor for the third straight week". Roy Morgan. 18 November 2024.
  20. ^ "November public opinion snapshot" (PDF). RedBridge Group. 14 November 2024. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  21. ^ a b Crowe, David (10 November 2024). "Fear of a Trump planet: Poll reveals Australia on edge after US result". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  22. ^ a b "Federal polls: Newspoll and Resolve Strategic (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 13 November 2024.
  23. ^ "Coalition retains a narrow lead over Labor as Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election". Roy Morgan. 11 November 2024.
  24. ^ a b "Peter Dutton closes in as preferred prime minister as Anthony Albanese's stocks fall". The Australian. 10 November 2024.
  25. ^ "Coalition takes lead from Labor as Prime Minister Albanese deals with Qantas flight upgrades scandal". Roy Morgan. 4 November 2024.
  26. ^ "Coalition support increases nationally as the LNP wins the Queensland election". Roy Morgan. 28 October 2024.
  27. ^ "Federal polls: Essential Research, Roy Morgan, ANU survey (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 25 December 2024.
  28. ^ a b "Dutton matches Albanese as preferred PM, Coalition retains poll lead". Australian Financial Review. 20 October 2024. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  29. ^ "ALP support up as King Charles & Queen Camilla visit Australia for the first time". Roy Morgan. 21 October 2024.
  30. ^ "Federal voting intention remains tied in mid-October: Coalition 50% cf. ALP 50%". Roy Morgan. 14 October 2024.
  31. ^ a b Benson, Simon (13 October 2024). "Coalition takes 2PP lead over Labor for first time since Albanese won 2022 election, Newpoll shows". The Australian.
  32. ^ "Federal voting intention tied in early October: Coalition 50% cf. ALP 50%". Roy Morgan. 7 October 2024.
  33. ^ a b Crowe, David (7 October 2024). "Albanese in voters' sights over cost of living". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 7 October 2024.
  34. ^ "Federal election 'too close to call' with Coalition (51%) now marginally ahead of the ALP (49%)". Roy Morgan. 30 September 2024.
  35. ^ "Federal voting intention virtually unchanged this week with ALP (50.5%) marginally ahead of the Coalition (49.5%)". Roy Morgan. 23 September 2024.
  36. ^ a b Benson, Simon (22 September 2024). "Newspoll: Housing dominates the cost-of-living debate as Labor loses ground". The Australian.
  37. ^ a b "50- 50 dead heat in latest YouGov poll". 20 September 2024. Retrieved 21 September 2024.
  38. ^ a b "Dutton minority government now in play: poll". Australian Financial Review. 15 September 2024. Retrieved 15 September 2024.
  39. ^ "Federal voting intention virtually unchanged this week with ALP (50.5%) marginally ahead of the Coalition (49.5%); but Greens lost support after violent protests". Roy Morgan. 16 September 2024.
  40. ^ "Federal voting intention virtually unchanged this week with ALP (51%) marginally ahead of the Coalition (49%)". Roy Morgan. 9 September 2024.
  41. ^ a b Crowe, David (8 September 2024). "Voters blame Labor for inflation woes, not Reserve Bank: poll". The Age. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  42. ^ "Federal voting intention: ALP (50.5%) now marginally ahead of the Coalition (49.5%) after Albanese Government's strong stance on putting the CFMEU into administration". Roy Morgan. 2 September 2024.
  43. ^ a b Benson, Simon (1 September 2024). "Newspoll: PM gets a performance review. It's bad". The Australian.
  44. ^ "Labor vote crashing: shock poll result for Anthony Albanese". The Daily Telegraph. 8 September 2024.
  45. ^ "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  46. ^ "Federal & State Political Poll" (PDF). wolf+smith. August 2024. p. 27.
  47. ^ a b "67% of Australians would vote for Kamala Harris for President". 29 August 2024. Archived from the original on 29 August 2024.
  48. ^ "Federal Government and Leader ratings, and views on key issues" (PDF). RedBridge Group. Retrieved 28 April 2024.
  49. ^ "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  50. ^ "Labor facing minority with Liberals competitive in teal seats: poll". Australian Financial Review. 8 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  51. ^ "Accent - RedBridge - MRP Report - Winter 2024-published.pdf". Google Drive. August 2024. p. 30.
  52. ^ "Federal voting intention: Coalition (50.5%) marginally ahead of the ALP (49.5%), but 'too close to call'". Roy Morgan. 26 August 2024. Archived from the original on 26 August 2024. Retrieved 26 August 2024.
  53. ^ a b "Freshwater Strategy: 51-49 to Coalition (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  54. ^ "Federal voting intention: ALP (50.5%) marginally ahead of Coalition (49.5%), but 'too close to call'". Roy Morgan. 19 August 2024. Archived from the original on 19 August 2024. Retrieved 19 August 2024.
  55. ^ a b Crowe, David (11 August 2024). "Voters mark down Labor on economic management after RBA rates call". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 11 August 2024.
  56. ^ "Federal voting intention: ALP and Coalition are tied on 50% each two-party preferred in mid-August". Roy Morgan. 12 August 2024. Archived from the original on 12 August 2024. Retrieved 12 August 2024.
  57. ^ a b Benson, Simon (11 August 2024). "Newspoll: Minority rule feared as Coalition rises and Labor falls". The Australian.
  58. ^ "Labor edges further ahead as inflation is lower than expected and interest rates set to remain unchanged: ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 5 August 2024. Archived from the original on 5 August 2024. Retrieved 5 August 2024.
  59. ^ "Labor has slight edge in 'too close to call' election as both major parties lose primary support: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 29 July 2024. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 29 July 2024.
  60. ^ "Coalition overtakes Labor in popular vote". Australian Financial Review. 21 July 2024. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 25 July 2024.
  61. ^ "Coalition gains slight edge over Labor after controversy about alleged union corruption: L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%". Roy Morgan. 22 July 2024.
  62. ^ Benson, Simon (21 July 2024). "Newspoll: Less than a third want Anthony Albanese as Labor leader, Peter Dutton no better off". The Australian. Archived from the original on 24 July 2024. Retrieved 24 July 2024.
  63. ^ "New RedBridge poll shows Coalition has pulled ahead of ALP". The Daily Telegraph. Archived from the original on 4 August 2024. Retrieved 28 July 2024.
  64. ^ a b "YouGov: 51-49 to Labor (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 29 July 2024.
  65. ^ "Federal Election is 'too close to call': L-NP 50.5% cf. ALP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 15 July 2024. Archived from the original on 15 July 2024. Retrieved 15 July 2024.
  66. ^ a b Crowe, David (15 July 2024). "Voters swing to Dutton in new sign of angst over economy". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 16 July 2024. Retrieved 16 July 2024.
  67. ^ "L-NP (52%) takes the lead over ALP (48%) after ALP disunity on Palestine". Roy Morgan. 8 July 2024. Archived from the original on 8 July 2024. Retrieved 8 July 2024.
  68. ^ "Federal voting intentions unchanged after release of Julian Assange and higher than expected inflation figures: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan. 1 July 2024. Archived from the original on 1 July 2024. Retrieved 1 July 2024.
  69. ^ a b Benson, Simon (30 June 2024). "Newspoll: Support for Coalition and Labor falls as nuclear debate divides along party lines". The Australian. Archived from the original on 1 July 2024. Retrieved 1 July 2024.
  70. ^ "Peter Dutton puts nuclear power on the agenda as ALP edges ahead of Coalition on two-party preferred: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan. 24 June 2024. Archived from the original on 24 June 2024. Retrieved 24 June 2024.
  71. ^ a b "Labor slumps on climate, cost of living as Albanese's ratings fall". Australian Financial Review. 16 June 2024. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 16 June 2024.
  72. ^ "ALP & Coalition are now even on two-party preferred terms in mid-June: ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%". Roy Morgan. 17 June 2024. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 17 June 2024.
  73. ^ a b Crowe, David (16 June 2024). "Dutton edges ahead as voters thump Labor on economy". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 16 June 2024.
  74. ^ "ALP Government strengthens its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition to the largest for three months: ALP 53.5% cf. L-NP 46.5%". Roy Morgan. 11 June 2024.
  75. ^ a b Benson, Simon (9 June 2024). "Newspoll: Labor, Greens go backwards as Coalition hits three-year primary vote high". The Australian.
  76. ^ a b "84% of Australians support the right to strike for better wages and work conditions". YouGov Australia. 7 June 2024. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  77. ^ "ALP Government regains the initiative after vowing to dump 'Directive 99' and the tragedy in Papua New Guinea grabbed the headlines: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 3 June 2024.
  78. ^ "Coalition enjoys its largest two-party preferred lead since the last Federal Election: L-NP 51.5% cf. ALP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 27 May 2024. Archived from the original on 27 May 2024. Retrieved 27 May 2024.
  79. ^ a b "Underwhelmed voters fear budget will lift rates". Australian Financial Review. 19 May 2024. Archived from the original on 28 August 2024. Retrieved 19 May 2024.
  80. ^ a b Crowe, David (19 May 2024). "Voters favour deeper cuts to migration as Labor misses budget boost". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 20 May 2024. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
  81. ^ "No 'Budget Boost' for Government as ALP loses ground after Federal Budget is delivered: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 20 May 2024.
  82. ^ a b Benson, Simon (19 May 2024). "Newspoll: Budget falls flat with voters". The Australian. Archived from the original on 28 May 2024. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
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