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2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky

2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky

← 2020 November 3, 2026 2032 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mitch McConnell
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kentucky. Incumbent seven-term Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2020, has not announced whether he will run for re-election. Media sources have speculated that McConnell, first elected in 1984, may choose not to run for re-election in 2026, owing to his declining health and his decision to retire as Senate Republican Leader after the 2024 Senate elections.[1]

Background

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Kentucky a Southern state in the Bible Belt, is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to the U.S. senate since 1992. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all but two statewide offices, supermajorities in both houses of the Kentucky General Assembly, and all but one seat in Kentucky's U.S. House congressional delegation.[2] McConnell was first elected in 1984 and was re-elected in six subsequent elections.[3] However, Democrats control the governorship and lieutenant-governorship which flipped from Republican control in 2019.[4]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Potential

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Declined

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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Filed paperwork

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Declined

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[11] Solid R January 17, 2025
270toWin[12] Likely R January 9, 2025

References

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  1. ^ Bolton, Alexander (April 2, 2024). "McConnell will serve out full term through 2026". The Hill. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
  2. ^ "Kentucky House and Senate Republicans maintain supermajority". kaco.org. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
  3. ^ "Sen. Mitch McConnell wins another term in Kentucky, NBC News projects". NBC News. November 4, 2020. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
  4. ^ Golshan, Tara (November 6, 2019). "Democrat Andy Beshear just unseated Kentucky's Trump-loving governor". Vox. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
  5. ^ Zanona, Melanie; Soellner, Mica (January 23, 2025). "Lawmakers have their eyes on governors' mansions". Punchbowl News. Retrieved January 31, 2025. Some sources think Barr is more likely to run for Senate if there's an open seat in 2026.
  6. ^ Horn, Austin (December 2, 2024). "Replacing McConnell? Someone reserves Senate 2026 web domains for 6 prominent Kentuckians". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved January 30, 2025.
  7. ^ Catanese, David (March 21, 2024). "Who would be the front-runner for McConnell's Senate seat in 2026?". McClatchy. Retrieved March 21, 2024. A spokesperson for Comer...relayed that Comer has no interest in running for senate even if McConnell does not seek reelection.
  8. ^ Bullis, Hailey (May 24, 2024). "Thomas Massie denies plans to run for McConnell's Senate seat in 2026". Washington Examiner. Retrieved October 18, 2024.
  9. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1872151". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 31, 2025.
  10. ^ Karyn, Czar (March 1, 2024). "Beshear rules out possible Senate run in 2026". WUKY.
  11. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  12. ^ "2026 Senate Interactive Map". 270toWin. Retrieved January 22, 2025.