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  Herbert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Weinholtz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Utah |
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The 2016 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016,[1] to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert ran for re-election to a second full term in office.[2] Republican challenger Jonathan E. Johnson defeated Herbert in the state convention to secure a spot on the primary ballot,[3] but Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary and secured the nomination.[4] The Democratic party nominated former CHG Healthcare Services CEO Mike Weinholtz at the Utah Democratic convention in April.[5]
Herbert won the general election, defeating Weinholtz by a large margin.[6][7]
Background
[edit]Republican Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr. resigned in August 2009 to become United States Ambassador to China and Lieutenant Governor Herbert succeeded him. He was elected to serve out the remainder of Huntsman's term in a 2010 special election and was re-elected to a full four-year term in 2012.
Republican nomination
[edit]Former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives Rebecca D. Lockhart was widely believed to be a potential Republican candidate, but she died of a rare neurodegenerative brain disease in January 2015.[2][8]
Incumbent governor Gary Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary, defeating Overstock.com Chairman Jonathan Johnson.[4]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Gary Herbert, incumbent governor[2]
- Jonathan "JJ" Johnson, businessman and chairman of the board of Overstock.com[2][9]
Polling
[edit] | This article's use of external links may not follow Wikipedia's policies or guidelines. (August 2016) |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert |
Jonathan Johnson |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[10] | June 6–8, 2016 | 517 | ± 4.1% | 69% | 24% | 6% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 176,866 | 71.75% | |
| Republican | Jonathan Johnson | 69,663 | 28.25% | |
| Total votes | 246,529 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic nomination
[edit]Weinholtz defeated Cook at the Democratic convention to become the nominee.
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Mike Weinholtz, former chairman and CEO of CHG Healthcare Services[11][5]
Withdrew
[edit]- Vaughn R Cook, founder and CEO of ZYTO Technologies[12]
Declined
[edit]- Ed Allen, former state senator[13]
- Jim Dabakis, State Senator and former chairman of the Utah Democratic Party[14]
- Jim Matheson, former U.S. representative[15]
- Ben McAdams, Mayor of Salt Lake County and former state senator[16]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Gary Herbert | Doug Owens | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 26, 2016 | Utah Debate Commission | Kerry Bringhurst | [17] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Safe R | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[19] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[20] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[22] | Safe R | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[23] | Safe R | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert (R) |
Mike Weinholtz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[24] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,479 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[25] | Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 1,428 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 38% | — | 3% |
| Y2 Analytics[26]→ | November 1–3, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 64% | 26% | 5% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[27] | Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 1,327 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 37% | — | 3% |
| Monmouth University[28] | Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 30% | 5% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey[29] | Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 | 1,247 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 36% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[30] | Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 | 1,057 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 34% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[31] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,078 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 35% | — | 4% |
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones[32] | October 12–18, 2016 | 818 | ± 3.4% | 64% | 25% | 6% | 5% |
| Monmouth University[33] | October 10–12, 2016 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 30% | 2% | 5% |
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones[34] | September 1–9, 2016 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 62% | 24% | 6% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[35] | August 19–21, 2016 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% | 57% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA[10] | June 6–8, 2016 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% | 55% | 34% | 4% | 6% |
| Gravis Marketing[36] | May 31–June 1, 2016 | 1,519 | ± 2.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% | — |
- → Internal poll conducted on behalf of the Utah Republican Party.
Hypothetical polling
with Jonathan Johnson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jonathan Johnson (R) |
Mike Weinholtz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[10] | June 6–8, 2016 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% | 38% | 35% | 9% | 17% |
| Gravis Marketing[36] | May 31–June 1, 2016 | 1,519 | ± 2.5% | 40% | 29% | 31% | — |
with Jim Matheson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert (R) |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones[37] | March 30–April 7, 2015 | 601 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 33% | — | 11% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 750,850 | 66.74% | −1.67% | |
| Democratic | Mike Weinholtz | 323,349 | 28.74% | +1.16% | |
| Libertarian | Brian Kamerath | 34,827 | 3.10% | +0.85% | |
| Independent American | Superdell Schanze | 15,912 | 1.41% | N/A | |
| Independent | L.S. Brown (write-in) | 97 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,125,035 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]By congressional district
[edit]Herbert won all 4 congressional districts.[39]
| District | Herbert | Weinholtz | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 71% | 24% | Rob Bishop |
| 2nd | 62% | 33% | Chris Stewart |
| 3rd | 72% | 24% | Jason Chaffetz |
| 4th | 61% | 34% | Mia Love |
References
[edit]- ^ "Official Utah Election Calendar". Archived from the original on March 20, 2016. Retrieved May 8, 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Governor Herbert says he will run for re-election in 2016". The Salt Lake Tribune. June 25, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
- ^ "Fox 13 Utah: Governor Gary Herbert Forced Into Primary Election by Jonathan "JJ" Johnson". April 23, 2016.
- ^ a b Roche, Lisa (June 28, 2016). "Gov. Gary Herbert wins GOP nomination". Deseret News. Archived from the original on June 30, 2016. Retrieved June 29, 2016.
- ^ a b Leonard, Wendy (April 23, 2016). "Utah Dems nominate Weinholtz to run for governor". Deseret News.
- ^ "Utah Governor Results: Gary Herbert Wins". The New York Times. August 1, 2017 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ Price, Michelle L. "Herbert wins re-election as governor". The Spectrum.
- ^ "Becky Lockhart, Utah's first female House speaker, dies". FOX13. January 17, 2015. Retrieved January 18, 2015.
- ^ Frandsen, Eric (March 13, 2015). "Former Overstock CEO speaking in Logan Monday and wants to be Utah's next governor". Cache Valley Daily. Archived from the original on March 15, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2015.
- ^ a b c SurveyUSA
- ^ Gehrke, Robert. "Democrat relies on outsider status, business success in bid for Utah governor". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
- ^ Cook, Vaughn. "Personal Note from Vaughn Cook". Utah County Democrats Facebook Page. Retrieved January 6, 2016.
- ^ Schott, Bryan (November 30, 2015). "2016 Candidate Tracker - Congressional and Statewide Offices". Utah Policy. Retrieved December 25, 2015.
- ^ "GOP Utah governor candidate Johnson to debate Democratic lawmaker Dabakis". The Salt Lake Tribune. November 25, 2015. Retrieved December 19, 2015.
- ^ "Is a run for governor or Senate in Matheson's future?". The Salt Lake Tribune. December 23, 2013. Retrieved December 24, 2013.
- ^ Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ Y2 Analytics
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ UtahPolicy/Dan Jones Archived October 10, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ UtahPolicy/Dan Jones
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b Gravis Marketing
- ^ UtahPolicy/Dan Jones
- ^ "Utah Election Official Results" (PDF). Utah Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 14, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2016.
- ^ "Dra 2020".
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites