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This article's lead section may be too long. (June 2024) |
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Turnout | 69.17% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Cox: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Peterson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Utah |
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The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Although incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert was eligible to run for re-election to a third full term, he initially announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he would not run again, but indicated in January 2019 that he was open to the possibility of running again before ultimately deciding to retire and endorse his lieutenant governor, Spencer Cox.[1][2][3] Utah had not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office in January 1985. This is the second longest active streak of one-party leadership, trailing only South Dakota, which had not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979.[4][5]
The winner of the election was the first non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate to be elected since Jon Huntsman Jr. in 2004, who ran in this election before he was eliminated in the primaries. The primaries took place on June 30, 2020. The filing deadline was on June 19, 2020.
Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox won the general election by defeating the Democratic nominee, University of Utah law professor and former CFPB official Christopher Peterson. This election was the first open-seat gubernatorial election in Utah since 1992.
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Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Bishop |
Jeff Burningham |
Jason Chaffetz |
Spencer Cox |
Jan Garbett |
Greg Hughes |
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
Greg Miller |
Aimee Winder Newton |
Sean Reyes |
Thomas Wright |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[45][1] | June 17–24, 2020 | 1,247 (LV) | ± 2.77% | — | — | — | 30% | — | 15% | 29% | — | — | — | 6% | 19%[a] |
Y2 Analytics UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[46] | June 9–17, 2020 | 797 (LV)[b] | — | — | — | — | 32% | — | 23% | 36% | — | — | — | 9% | — |
Y2 Analytics/Cox for Governor[47][A] | June 13–16, 2020 | 691 (LV) | ± 3.72% | — | — | — | 34% | — | 20% | 28% | — | — | — | 9% | 9%[c] |
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[48] | June 1–10, 2020 | 676 (LV) | ± 3.77% | — | — | — | 32%[d] | — | 10% | 37% | — | — | — | 5% | 4%[e] |
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune[49] | June 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | — | — | — | 32% | — | 10% | 30% | — | — | — | 8% | 17% |
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute[50] | May 25–31, 2020 | 643 (LV) | — | — | — | — | 28% | — | 18% | 24% | — | — | — | 4% | 26% |
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[51][2] | May 9–15, 2020 | 610 (LV)[f] | — | — | — | — | 40% | — | 18% | 34% | — | — | — | 8% | — |
All remaining candidates except Cox, Hughes, Huntsman Jr. and Wright eliminated at convention | |||||||||||||||
Y2 Analytics[52][3] | March 21–30, 2020 | 738 (LV)[g] | – | — | 5% | — | 39% | < 1% | 17% | 33% | — | 4% | — | 1% | < 1%[h] |
Hinckley Institute[53] | March 23–28, 2020 | 326 (LV) | ± 5.4% | — | 7% | — | 24% | 1% | 7% | 26% | — | 2% | — | 2% | 32% |
Dan Jones & Associates[54] | February 28 – March 11, 2020 | 338 (V) | ± 5.3% | — | 6% | — | 30% | 2% | 12% | 27% | — | 4% | — | 6% | 15% |
Hinckley Institute[55] | February 24 – March 1, 2020 | 312 (LV) | ± 5.5% | — | 7% | — | 20% | 1% | 7% | 32% | — | 2% | — | 1% | 30% |
Garbett announces her candidacy[56] | |||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune[57] | January 18–22, 2020 | 246 (LV) | ± 6.3% | — | 1% | — | 18% | – | 7% | 26% | — | 1% | — | 1% | 46% |
Hinckley Institute/Deseret News[58] | January 15–22, 2020 | 424 (LV) | ± 4.8% | — | 6% | — | 25% | – | 3% | 35% | — | 3% | — | 3% | 25% |
Reyes announces he will not run | |||||||||||||||
Bishop announces he will not run | |||||||||||||||
Hughes announces his candidacy[59] | |||||||||||||||
Wright announces his candidacy[60] | |||||||||||||||
Y2 Analytics[61] | November 19 – December 7, 2019 | 457 (V) | ± 4.6% | 9% | 5% | — | 41% | – | 5% | 29% | – | 5% | 5% | 1% | — |
Huntsman Jr. announces his candidacy[62] | |||||||||||||||
Newton announces her candidacy[63] | |||||||||||||||
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[64] |
October 3–10, 2019 | 271 (V) | – | — | 2% | — | 34% | – | 2% | 30% | — | — | – | 7% | 25% |
Miller announces he will not run[65] | |||||||||||||||
Burningham announces his candidacy[66] | |||||||||||||||
Chaffetz announces he will not run | |||||||||||||||
Cox announces his candidacy[67] | |||||||||||||||
University of Utah[68] | January 15–24, 2019 | 311 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 10% | – | 27% | 28% | – | 4% | – | 2% | — | 4% | – | 24% |
University of Utah[69] | October 3–9, 2018 | 291 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 11% | – | 25% | 16% | – | 3% | – | 2% | — | 7% | – | 36% |
Hinckley Institute/Salt Lake Tribune[70] | June 11–18, 2018 | 510 (V) | ± 4.3% | 9% | – | 25% | 16% | – | 3% | – | – | — | 9% | – | 37% |
Republican convention results[71] | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate/running mate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | Round 6 | ||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |
Spencer Cox/Deidre Henderson | 1081 | 30.2% | 1082 | 30.2% | 1223 | 34.3% | 1287 | 36.3% | 1488 | 42.4% | 1884 | 55.0% |
Greg Hughes/Victor Iverson | 663 | 18.5% | 674 | 18.8% | 719 | 20.2% | 901 | 25.4% | 1107 | 31.5% | 1544 | 45.0% |
Aimee Winder Newton/John 'Frugal' Dougall | 500 | 14.0% | 508 | 14.2% | 540 | 15.1% | 703 | 19.8% | 918 | 26.1% | Eliminated | |
Thomas Wright/Rob Bishop | 489 | 13.7% | 494 | 13.8% | 553 | 15.5% | 658 | 18.5% | Eliminated | |||
Jeff Burningham/Dan McCay | 487 | 13.6% | 504 | 14.1% | 530 | 14.9% | Eliminated | |||||
Jon Huntsman Jr./Michelle Kaufusi | 315 | 8.8% | 315 | 8.8% | Eliminated | |||||||
Jason Christensen/Drew Chamberlain | 44 | 1.2% | Eliminated | |||||||||
Inactive ballots | 0 ballots | 2 ballots | 14 ballots | 30 ballots | 66 ballots | 151 ballots |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
Spencer Cox | Greg Hughes | Jon Huntsman Jr. | Thomas Wright | |||||
1 | Jun. 1, 2020 | Utah Debate Commission | Bruce Lindsay | [72] | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Spencer Cox | 190,565 | 36.15% | |
Republican | Jon Huntsman Jr. | 184,246 | 34.95% | |
Republican | Greg Hughes | 110,835 | 21.02% | |
Republican | Thomas Wright | 41,532 | 7.88% | |
Total votes | 527,178 | 100% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Neil Hansen |
Ryan Jackson |
Zachary Moses |
Christopher Peterson |
Nikki Pino |
Archie Williams III |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[84] | March 21–30, 2020 | 167 (LV) | ± 7.6% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 38% | 28% | 5% | 10% |
Democratic convention results[85] | |
---|---|
Candidate | Pct. |
Christopher Peterson | 88.4% |
Zachary Moses | 4.7% |
Neil Hansen | 4.0% |
Nikki Ray Pino | 1.4% |
Ryan Jackson | 1.4% |
Archie Williams III | 0.1% |
An advertisement that featured both major-party candidates, calling for civility in politics, drew significant media coverage and praise.[91][92]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[93] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
Inside Elections[94] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[95] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[96] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[97] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
RCP[98] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
270towin[99] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
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Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Spencer Cox (R) |
Christopher Peterson (D) |
Daniel Cottam (L) |
Gregory Duerden (IAP) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[100] | October 15–24, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 58% | 33% | – | – | – | – |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[101] | October 12–17, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 26% | 6% | 3% | – | 16% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[102] | September 26 – October 4, 2020 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 57% | 29% | – | – | 14% | – |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[103] | September 7–12, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 19% | 4% | 3% | – | 22% |
Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune[104][4] | August 31 – September 12, 2020 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 55% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 15% |
RMG Research[105] | July 27 – August 1, 2020 | 1000 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 17% | 3% | 3% | – | 29% |
with Spencer Eccles
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Jeff Burningham |
Spencer Cox |
Spencer Eccles |
Greg Hughes |
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
Thomas Wright |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[64] |
Oct 3–10, 2019 | 599 (LV) | ± 4% | 2% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 33% | 4% | 21% |
with only Spencer Cox, Greg Hughes and Jon Huntsman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Spencer Cox |
Greg Hughes |
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[106] |
Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 | 801 (LV) | – | 37% | 8% | 43% | 12% |
with Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Spencer Cox |
Greg Hughes |
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
Aimee Winder-Newton |
Thomas Wright |
Generic Democrat (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[106] |
Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 | 801 (LV) | – | 33% | 5% | 32% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 13% |
with Bishop, Chaffetz, Cox, Dougall, Hughes, Miller, Newton, Reyes and Generic Democrat (D)
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Rob Bishop |
Jason Chaffetz |
Spencer Cox |
Generic Democrat (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/UtahPolicy[107] | Jan 3–15, 2019 | 822 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 7% | 18% | 24% | 11% | 39%[j] |
with Jason Chaffetz, Spencer Cox, Spencer Eccles, Greg Hughes, Ben McAdams, Greg Miller and Josh Romney
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[i] |
Margin of error |
Jason Chaffetz |
Spencer Cox |
Ben McAdams |
Josh Romney |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Tribune/Hinkley Institute[108] | Oct 10–13, 2017 | 605 (RV) | ± 3.98% | 24% | 11% | 20% | 9% | 11%[k] | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 918,754 | 62.98% | −3.76% | ||
Democratic |
|
442,754 | 30.35% | +1.61% | |
Libertarian |
|
51,393 | 3.52% | +0.42% | |
Independent American |
|
25,810 | 1.77% | +0.36% | |
Write-in | 20,167 | 1.38% | +1.37% | ||
Total votes | 1,458,878 | 100% | |||
Turnout | 1,515,845 | 69.17% | |||
Registered electors | 1,682,512 | ||||
Republican hold |
By county
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic |
Cox won all 4 congressional districts.[110]
District | Cox | Peterson | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 66% | 25% | Rob Bishop |
Blake Moore | |||
2nd | 57% | 33% | Chris Stewart |
3rd | 67% | 27% | John Curtis |
4th | 59% | 35% | Ben McAdams |
Burgess Owens |
Additional candidates
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