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2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout57.6% (Decrease 3.8%)
 
Nominee Ned Lamont Bob Stefanowski
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Griebel-Frank for CT Party
Running mate Susan Bysiewicz Laura Devlin
Popular vote 710,186 546,209
Percentage 55.97% 43.05%
Lamont:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Stefanowski:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Governor before election

Ned Lamont
Democratic

Elected Governor

Ned Lamont
Democratic

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Mayoral Elections

The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, whom he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote.[2] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986.

This was the first time that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election since 1994, Darien since 1912, Wilton since 1884, and New Canaan since 1882.

Democratic convention

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Governor

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Republican convention

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Governor

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated at convention
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Declined
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Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Third-party candidates and independent candidates

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Libertarian Party

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Green Party

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Independent Party of Connecticut

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In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee.[11]

Working Families Party

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The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line.[13] Official designee

Griebel-Frank for CT Party

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The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, which secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election.[14] Official designee

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Solid D October 28, 2022
Inside Elections[16] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Likely D January 26, 2022
Politico[18] Lean D August 12, 2022
RCP[19] Lean D January 10, 2022
Fox News[20] Likely D May 12, 2022
538[21] Solid D September 20, 2022
Elections Daily[22] Safe D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

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Ned Lamont (D)

State officials

Local officials

Political parties

Labor unions

Bob Stefanowski (R)

State officials

Organizations

  • Connecticut Chapter of the Fraternal Order of Police[33]

Political parties

Newspapers

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of January 10, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ned Lamont (D) $25,518,245 $26,087,401 $355,916
Bob Stefenowski (R) $12,902,700 $14,498,162 $17,840
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission[35]

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Ned
Lamont (D) 		Bob
Stefanowski (R) 		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[36] September 7–21, 2022 September 28, 2022 53.7% 39.3% 7.0% Lamont +14.4
FiveThirtyEight[37] May 11 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.9% 38.5% 8.6% Lamont +14.4
270ToWin[38] October 16–25, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.5% 39.0% 9.5% Lamont +12.5
Average 52.7% 38.9% 8.4% Lamont +13.8

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ned
Lamont (D) 		Bob
Stefanowski (R) 		Other Undecided
Long Island University[39] October 24–26, 2022 1,004 (A) ± 3.0% 55% 24% 8%[c] 13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[40][A] October 23–24, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 43% 4%[d] 4%
50% 46% – 4%
Quinnipiac University[41] October 19–23, 2022 1,879 (LV) ± 2.3% 56% 41% 2%[e] 1%
Emerson College[42] October 19–21, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 41% 2%[f] 5%
53% 43% 4%[g] –
SurveyUSA[43] October 15–18, 2022 718 (LV) – 52% 34% 4%[h] 10%
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[44][B] October 10–13, 2022 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 46% 40% 5%[i] 10%
50% 43% – 7%
Western New England University[45] September 15–21, 2022 766 (RV) ± 3.2% 51% 38% 2%[j] 8%
626 (LV) ± 4.8% 55% 40% 2%[k] 3%
Quinnipiac University[41] September 15–19, 2022 1,911 (LV) ± 2.2% 57% 40% 1%[l] 2%
Emerson College[46] September 7–9, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 38% 4% 9%
Quinnipiac University[47] May 19–23, 2022 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 51% 43% <1%[m] 6%
Emerson College[48] May 10–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% – 12%
Sacred Heart University[49] March 24 – April 11, 2022 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 48% 30% 0% 22%
Public Policy Polling (D)[50][C] October 21–22, 2021 729 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 36% – 12%
Hypothetical polling

Ned Lamont vs. Themis Klarides

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ned
Lamont (D) 		Themis
Klarides (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[50][C] October 21–22, 2021 729 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 32% 16%

Ned Lamont vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ned
Lamont (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[50][C] October 21–22, 2021 729 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 41% 9%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Fabrizo Lee (R)[51][B] October 10–13, 2022 1,200 (LV) – 46% 42% 1%[n] 11%

Results

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2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election[52][53]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ned Lamont 691,146 54.47% +6.37%
Working Families Ned Lamont 16,175 1.27% +0.00%
Griebel-Frank for CT Party Ned Lamont 2,865 0.23% −3.66%
Total Ned Lamont (incumbent) 710,186 55.97% +6.60%
Republican Bob Stefanowski 546,209 43.05% −3.16%
Independent Party Robert Hotaling 12,400 0.98% −0.82%
Green Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in) 98 0.00% N/A
Total votes 1,268,893 100.0%
Turnout 1,292,847 57.57%
Registered electors 2,245,844
Democratic hold

By county

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Lamont won six out of all eight counties, while Stefenowski only won two.[54]

County Ned Lamont
Democratic 		Bob Stefenowski
Republican 		Other parties
Independent 		Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Fairfield 185,900 58.8% 128,434 40.6% 2,056 0.6% 316,390
Hartford 185,124 59.6% 121,948 39.3% 3,313 1.1% 310,385
Litchfield 36,591 44.8% 44,282 54.2% 858 1.0% 81,731
Middlesex 41,052 54.9% 32,940 44.0% 830 1.1% 74,822
New Haven 157,023 54.9% 126,124 44.1% 2,723 1.0% 285,870
New London 55,174 54.9% 43,902 43.7% 1,353 1.3% 100,429
Tolland 31,348 52.4% 27,748 46.4% 753 1.3% 59,849
Windham 18,264 46.3% 20,688 52.5% 474 1.2% 39,426
Totals 710,476 55.97% 546,066 43.05% 12,360 0.98% 1,268,902

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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Lamont won all 5 congressional districts.[55]

District Ned Lamont
Democratic 		Bob Stefenowski
Republican 		Other parties
Independent 		Total votes cast Representative
# % # % # %
1st 103,281 60.83% 64,555 38.02% 1,960 1.15% 169,796 John B. Larson
2nd 104,030 53.02% 89,650 45.69% 2,517 1.29% 196,197 Joe Courtney
3rd 108,548 56.42% 82,101 42.66% 1,772 0.92% 192,421 Rosa DeLauro
4th 96,180 60.29% 62,389 39.10% 979 0.61% 159,548 Jim Himes
5th 78,655 50.17% 76,554 48.84% 1,550 0.99% 156,759 Jahana Hayes
Totals 710,186 55.97% 546,209 43.05% 12,498 0.98% 1,268,893

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
  4. ^ Hotaling (I) with 4%
  5. ^ "Refused" with 2%
  6. ^ Hotaling (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  7. ^ Hotaling (I) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ^ Hotaling (I) with 4%
  9. ^ Hotaling with 5%
  10. ^ "Refused" with 2%
  11. ^ "Refused" with 2%
  12. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  13. ^ "Someone else" (volunteered response) with <1%
  14. ^ "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll conducted for Stefanowski's campaign.
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner.
  3. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform CT

References

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  1. ^ a b c "'I love the job.' Lamont officially announces reelection bid for Connecticut governor". News 12 - The Bronx. November 9, 2021.
  2. ^ "Public Reporting". ctemspublic.pcctg.net. Retrieved October 4, 2022.
  3. ^ "Bob Stefanowski to Announce Run for Governor". NBCConnecticut.com. January 19, 2022.
  4. ^ Bergman, Julia (January 19, 2022). "'Lack of affordability' in CT focus for Stefanowski in second run for governor". Connecticut Post.
  5. ^ "SUSANFORCT2022". SUSANFORCT2022.
  6. ^ "This Week in CT: Lawmakers conclude legislative session during pandemic turnaround". wtnh.com. June 13, 2021.
  7. ^ "Themis Klarides announces her run for United States Senate". WFSB. Retrieved January 30, 2022.
  8. ^ Rennie, Kevin (December 18, 2020). "Kevin Rennie: If Republicans want to think about beating Ned Lamont in 2022, they need to start with some fresh ideas". Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on December 19, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2021.
  9. ^ Flood, Bill (March 14, 2021). "New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart says she will not run for governor". Fox61. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 28, 2021.
  10. ^ a b Stuart, Christine (May 19, 2022). "Green Party Nominates Gubernatorial Candidate". CT News Junkie.
  11. ^ "Working Families Party Regains Third Line on Connecticut Ballot | Ballot Access News". January 10, 2023.
  12. ^ Dixon, Ken (August 22, 2022). "Independent's panel rebuffs Stefanowski, sets up caucus fight". CT Insider.
  13. ^ "Connecticut Working Families Party endorses Ned Lamont and Susan Bysiewicz for re-election". Working Families Party. August 15, 2022.
  14. ^ Pazniokas, Mark (September 8, 2022). "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform". Connecticut Public.
  15. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  16. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  17. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  18. ^ "Connecticut Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  19. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  20. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  21. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  22. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  23. ^ Ramirez II, Hector (May 14, 2021). "'Governor Lamont has done a great job': CT Republican Mark Boughton endorsing Lamont for re-election". WTNH. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  24. ^ a b Muce, Sophia (November 4, 2022). "Democrats Gather at Eastern on Friday to Rally Students to the Polls". CT Examiner.
  25. ^ a b "Parties Seek to Turn Out the Vote with Weekend Rallies". November 5, 2022.
  26. ^ "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform". MSN. August 18, 2022.
  27. ^ "Working Families Party endorses Lamont and Bysiewicz". August 18, 2022.
  28. ^ "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
  29. ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved October 29, 2022.
  30. ^ Moritz, John (June 13, 2022). "Amid protest plans, conservative Nebraska governor cancels plans to stump for Stefanowski". CT Insider. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  31. ^ Christopher Keating, Hartford Courant (June 22, 2022). "New Hampshire Gov. Sununu, in CT to help Bob Stefanowski raise money, calls impending diesel tax hike 'the dumbest thing anyone could do'". News.yahoo.com. Retrieved June 27, 2022.
  32. ^ "How Bob Stefanowski is changing his campaign message". October 3, 2022.
  33. ^ Lemanski, Michael (May 21, 2022). "GOP Hopefuls Stefanowski, Devlin Get Police Group's Endorsement". Patch.
  34. ^ We endorse Mr. Stefanowski for governor Republican American. October 29, 2022. Retrieved December 19, 2022
  35. ^ "Document/Filing Search". Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission.
  36. ^ Real Clear Politics
  37. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  38. ^ 270ToWin
  39. ^ Long Island University
  40. ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  41. ^ a b Quinnipiac University
  42. ^ Emerson College
  43. ^ SurveyUSA
  44. ^ Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
  45. ^ Western New England University
  46. ^ Emerson College
  47. ^ Quinnipiac University
  48. ^ Emerson College
  49. ^ Sacred Heart University
  50. ^ a b c Public Policy Polling (D)
  51. ^ Fabrizo Lee (R)
  52. ^ "2022 General Election - Governor". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  53. ^ "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: Voting Statistics :: State of Connecticut".
  54. ^ "Connecticut Governor election results". Politico.
  55. ^ "General Election - Governor - State of Connecticut". CT.gov.
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Official campaign websites