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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

Both Rhode Island seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 201,750 150,024
Percentage 56.38% 41.93%
Swing Decrease 7.63% Increase 19.43%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Rhode Island, one from each of the state's 2 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. It followed a primary election on September 13, 2022.[1]

In the leadup to the 2022 redistricting cycle, many analysts believed that Rhode Island would lose its 2nd district and be relegated to at-large status. However, the state managed to keep both its districts. This was credited to an aggressive effort by Rhode Island officials and community leaders to make sure that as many residents completed the 2020 census as possible. Coincidentally, the announcement that Rhode Island would not lose a district was made by U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo, who previously served as Governor of Rhode Island from 2015 until her resignation in 2021 to become Commerce Secretary. Incumbent U.S. Representatives David Cicilline and Jim Langevin, who would have been forced to run against each other in a Democratic primary if the two districts were merged, both expressed relief at the announcement.[2]

This was the best U.S. House generic ballot for Republicans and the best a Republican candidate has done in a House race in the state since 1992.

District 1

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district election

 
Nominee David Cicilline Allen Waters
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 100,318 56,055
Percentage 64.0% 35.8%

Municipality results
Cicilline:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Waters:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

David Cicilline
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

David Cicilline
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 1st district encompassed parts of Providence, as well as eastern Rhode Island, including Aquidneck Island and Pawtucket. The incumbent is Democrat David Cicilline, who was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Cicilline (incumbent) 46,610 100.0
Total votes 46,610 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Allen Waters 6,975 100.0
Total votes 6,975 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D February 22, 2022
Inside Elections[13] Solid D March 28, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D February 23, 2022
Politico[15] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[16] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[17] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[18] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[19] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[20] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district election[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Cicilline (incumbent) 100,318 64.0
Republican Allen Waters 56,055 35.8
Write-in 361 0.2
Total votes 156,734 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Seth Magaziner Allan Fung
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 101,432 93,969
Percentage 50.4% 46.7%

Municipality results
Magaziner:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Fung:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

James Langevin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Seth Magaziner
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 2nd district also took in parts of Providence, as well as western Rhode Island, including Coventry, Cranston, and Warwick. The incumbent is Democrat Jim Langevin, who was re-elected with 58.2% of the vote in 2020.[3] On January 18, 2022, Langevin announced he would not seek re-election.[22]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joy Fox
Sarah Morgenthau

Federal officials

Individuals

David Segal

Federal officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Forums and debates

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district democratic primary forum & debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Omar Bah Spencer Dickinson Joy Fox Seth Magaziner Sarah Morgenthau David Segal
1 Aug. 18, 2022 Temple Sinai [64] P N P P P P
2 Aug. 30, 2022 WPRI-TV Ted Nesi
Tim White
[65] N N P P P P
3 Sep. 6, 2022 WJAR Gene Valicenti [66] P A[b] P P P P

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Omar
Bah
Spencer
Dickinson
Joy
Fox
Seth
Magaziner
Cameron
Moquin
Sarah
Morgenthau
David
Segal
Other Undecided
Fleming & Associates[67] August 7–10, 2022 252 (LV) ± 6.2% 3% 1% 4% 37% 8% 8% 37%
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 175 (LV) ± 7.5% 3% 8% 30% 3% 3% 8% 2% 42%
RMG Research[69] June 14–18, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 7% 31% 9% 8% 41%
Fleming & Associates[70] May 9–12, 2022 250 (LV) ± 6.2% 0% 4% 33% 1% 4% 5% 50%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Seth Magaziner 30,309 54.0
Democratic David Segal 9,067 16.2
Democratic Sarah Morgenthau 6,696 11.9
Democratic Joy Fox 6,112 10.9
Democratic Omar Bah 2,600 4.6
Democratic Spencer Dickinson 1,318 2.3
Total votes 56,102 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Allan
Fung
Robert
Lancia
Other Undecided
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 102 (LV) ± 9.7% 67% 15% 5% 14%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Allan Fung 12,113 100.0
Total votes 12,113 100.0

Moderate Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Forums & debates

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district candidate forums & debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Moderate
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Seth Magaziner Allan Fung William Gilbert
1 October 17, 2022 The Providence Journal
The Public's Radio
University of Rhode Island
[76] P P P
2 October 18, 2022 WPRI-TV Ted Nesi
Tim White
[77] P P N
3 November 3, 2022 North Kingstown
High School
[78] P N P
4 November 4, 2022 WJAR Gene Valicenti [79] P P N

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup June 28, 2022
Inside Elections[13] Tossup November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[15] Tossup October 12, 2022
RCP[16] Lean R (flip) October 7, 2022
Fox News[17] Tossup October 11, 2022
DDHQ[18] Tossup October 28, 2022
538[19] Tossup October 12, 2022
The Economist[20] Tossup October 12, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Seth Magaziner (D)

Federal officials

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Seth
Magaziner (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
Undecided
[d]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[104] June 19 – October 24, 2022 October 26, 2022 41.2% 47.1% 11.7% Fung +5.9

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Seth
Magaziner (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
William
Gilbert (M)
Undecided
DCCC Targeting and Analytics (D)[105] October 23–24, 2022 812 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
The Mellman Group (D)[106][A] October 1–4, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 40% 43% 5% 12%
Suffolk University[107] October 1–4, 2022 422 (LV) ± 3.9% 37% 45% 5% 13%
Fleming & Associates[108] September 29 – October 2, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 40% 46% 4% 10%
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 39% 45% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[109][B] May 23–26, 2022 – (LV) 35% 50% 15%
Hypothetical polling

Omar Bah vs. Allan Fung

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Omar
Bah (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
Undecided
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 34% 44% 22%

Joy Fox vs. Allan Fung

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joy
Fox (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
Undecided
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 34% 45% 21%

Sarah Morgenthau vs. Allan Fung

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Sarah
Morgenthau (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
Undecided
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 35% 43% 22%

David Segal vs. Allan Fung

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
David
Segal (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
Undecided
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 35% 45% 21%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[110][B] May 23–26, 2022 – (LV) 38% 34% 28%

Cameron Moquin vs. Allan Fung

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Cameron
Moquin (D)
Allan
Fung (R)
Undecided
Suffolk University[68] June 19–22, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 32% 46% 22%

Results

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district election[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Seth Magaziner 101,432 50.4
Republican Allan Fung 93,969 46.7
Moderate William Gilbert 5,489 2.7
Write-in 199 0.1
Total votes 201,089 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Doherty switched to the Democratic Party in 2014.
  2. ^ Hospitalized.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Magaziner's campaign
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Fung's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Rhode Island Secretary of State. "Voter Election and Community Event Dates!". Retrieved September 13, 2022.
  2. ^ "RI keeps 2 US House seats, despite dire forecasts". WPRI. April 26, 2021. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  3. ^ a b "2020 General Election – Statewide Summary". Rhode Island Board of Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h "Candidates in Upcoming Elections". Rhode Island Department of State. Retrieved June 29, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c Nesi, Ted (February 28, 2022). "AFL-CIO backs Magaziner as unions weigh in early for 2nd District primary". WPRI-TV. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  6. ^ a b "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association.
  7. ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". Feminist Majority PAC. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  8. ^ "David Cicilline Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Fight for Climate Action for Rhode Island's Communities in Congress". www.lcv.org. League of Conservation Voters. October 18, 2022.
  9. ^ a b Nesi, Ted (June 26, 2022). "McKee wins RI Dem Party endorsement". Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  10. ^ a b c d "2022 Statewide Primary". Rhode Island Board of Elections.
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  16. ^ a b "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
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  18. ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
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  23. ^ NEWS, NBC 10 (January 26, 2022). "Seth Magaziner announces run for Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District". WJAR. Retrieved January 26, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
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  25. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (January 22, 2022). "Refugee Dream Center founder Omar Bah to run for Congress – the Boston Globe". The Boston Globe.
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  31. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (March 23, 2022). "Election 2022: Kalus enters gubernatorial race; Pacheco exits congressional race; Diossa names campaign manager". What's Up Newp.
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  38. ^ Anderson, Patrick (February 2, 2022). "Former Rhode Island Health Director Dr. Nicole Alexander-Scott will not run for Congress". The Providence Journal. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
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  40. ^ "The Providence Journal".
  41. ^ "NEW: Bah Announces Run for Congress, Doherty Will Not Run". golocalprov. January 22, 2022.
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  43. ^ a b c d e Farzan, Antonia Noori (January 18, 2022). "'I love this state': Rep. Jim Langevin will not seek reelection after 22 years in Congress". Providence Journal.
  44. ^ a b c d Nesi, Ted; Machado, Steph; White, Tim (January 18, 2022). "Jim Langevin won't seek re-election; first open seat in RI since 2010". WPRI.com.
  45. ^ a b "Langevin backs Magaziner as his replacement in R.I.'s 2nd District - the Boston Globe". The Boston Globe.
  46. ^ Nesi, Ted (April 14, 2022). "Sabina Matos kicks off campaign for full term as lieutenant governor". WPRI-TV. Retrieved June 29, 2022.
  47. ^ "Nesi's Notes: Jan. 29". January 29, 2022.
  48. ^ Donnis, Ian (January 28, 2022). "TGIF: Ian Donnis' Rhode Island politics roundup for January 28, 2022". The Public's Radio.
  49. ^ "Election 2022: Magaziner jumps in, Alexander-Scott out of Congressional race". The Independent. February 3, 2022. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  50. ^ DaSilva, Melanie (January 20, 2022). "RI Speaker Shekarchi rules out potential run for Congress". WPRI. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
  51. ^ "Rhode Island political news: February 2022 – The Boston Globe". Boston Globe.
  52. ^ "Nesi's Notes: May 21". May 21, 2022.
  53. ^ "Cory Booker backs Morgenthau for Langevin seat". July 11, 2022.
  54. ^ Nesi, Ted (June 26, 2022). "Sen. Gillibrand endorses Morgenthau for RI congressional seat". WPRI-TV. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  55. ^ a b c d Fitzpatrick, Edward. "Rhode Island political news: August 2022". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  56. ^ "Senator Bernie Sanders endorses R.I. Progressives Segal, Brown, and Mendes - the Boston Globe". The Boston Globe.
  57. ^ a b "Segal wins endorsement from U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren". April 21, 2022.
  58. ^ "Nesi's Notes: Aug. 6". August 6, 2022.
  59. ^ a b c "RI Political Diary: McKee v. Raimando Approval, Cuervo Endorsed by Bell, Nurses Support McKee". www.golocalprov.com. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 21, 2022.
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  64. ^ YouTube
  65. ^ YouTube
  66. ^ YouTube
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  68. ^ a b c d e f g h Suffolk University
  69. ^ RMG Research
  70. ^ Fleming & Associates
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  92. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (March 17, 2022). "Election 2022: de la Cruz enters CD2 race; Magaziner wins nurse endorsement; GOP head warns Dems 'no Democratic seat is safe'". www.whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
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  94. ^ "Chris Christie once again stumps for Allan Fung on Federal Hill". MSN.
  95. ^ "Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan says GOP gains could be "somewhat muted" by far-right candidates on ballot". CBS News. October 21, 2022.
  96. ^ Kalunian, Kim; Nesi, Ted (April 14, 2022). "De la Cruz drops out of race for Congress, endorses Fung". WRPI.com12. Retrieved October 2, 2022.
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  98. ^ @realjameswoods (October 11, 2022). "I don't usually get involved in local politics in RI, but @AllanFungRI has been a devoted servant to our beloved state and its citizens for years. Forget political affiliations and vote for a good man. I guarantee Allan Fung will serve Rhode Island well. #FungForCongress" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 12, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022 – via Twitter.
  99. ^ "Log Cabin Republicans Announces Second Round of 2022 Endorsements". Log Cabin Republicans. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
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  104. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  105. ^ DCCC Targeting and Analytics (D)
  106. ^ The Mellman Group (D)
  107. ^ Suffolk University
  108. ^ Fleming & Associates
  109. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived July 13, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  110. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R) [permanent dead link]
[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates